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A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System: Theory and Evidence: Intellectual Odyssey III

Autor Michael Brecher
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 3 aug 2018
This book is designed to present a fully developed theory of international crisis and conflict, along with substantial evidence of these two closely related phenomena. The book begins with a discussion of these topics at a theoretical level, defining and elaborating on core concepts: international crisis, interstate conflict, severity, and impact. This is followed by a discussion of the international system, along with two significant illustrations, the Berlin Blockade crisis (1948) and the India-Pakistan crisis over Kashmir (1965-66). The book then presents a unified model of crisis, focusing on the four phases of an international crisis, which incorporate the four periods of foreign policy crises for individual states. Findings from thirteen conflicts representing six regional clusters are then analyzed, concluding with a set of hypotheses and evidence on conflict onset, persistence, and resolution.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9783319860909
ISBN-10: 3319860909
Pagini: 419
Ilustrații: XI, 419 p. 3 illus.
Dimensiuni: 148 x 210 mm
Greutate: 0 kg
Ediția:Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018
Editura: Springer International Publishing
Colecția Palgrave Macmillan
Locul publicării:Cham, Switzerland

Cuprins

1. Multiple Paths to Knowledge

A.INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEW
Origins 
Colleagues, Coders and Advisers 
Rationale and Methods 
Objectives 
Formative Publications (1977-1980) 
Case Studies – Qualitative Analysis 
Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis

B.MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICT
Advocates and Critics
Rationale
Diversity in International Studies

C.INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS  
Phases and Themes
Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I)
Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II)
Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III)      
Concepts           
Subordinate State System
Foreign Policy System
International System
Foreign Policy Crisis
International Crisis
Unified Model of Crisis
Crisis Severity
Crisis Impact
Protracted Conflict
Polycentrism

2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems

A.CORE CONCEPTS
International Crisis and Protracted Conflict
Severity and Impact

B.SYSTEM AND CRISIS
International System
Systemic Crisis
Berlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49
India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66
Severity and Impact 
Unit-System Linkages

3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework

A.UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISIS
Conceptual Guidelines: Overview 
Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation 
De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-Escalation
Impact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact

B.CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURE
Recent Additions to Crisis-Conflict Project
Overview of Findings       

4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises

Dataset: 29 Cases
Context Dimensions
Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved Debate
General Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: 
                                     Trigger 
                                     Triggering Entity 
                                     Duration 
                                     Decisions 
                                     Decision-Makers      
                                     Attitudinal Prism 
                                     Values 
Findings on Coping: Crisis Management
                                      Information Processing
                                      Consultation
                                      Decisional Forum
                                      Search for, and Consideration of, Alternatives
Findings on System Structures
                                      Multipolarity 
                                      Bipolarity 
                                      Bipolycentrism
                                      Unipolycentrism
Coping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom                                                                              Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress
                                Cognitive Dimension 
                                Decisional Dimension  
                              Shared Response to Stress 
Explanation – Commonality in Coping with High Stress 
Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises 
Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises

5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model           
Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution
                                    Collective Exhaustion
                                    Changes in Balance of Capability
                                     Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution                                      External Pressures for Conflict Resolution 
                                     Reduction in Discordant Objectives                         
                                     Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining Acts
Perceptual Calculus
Catalyst
Hypotheses on Conflict Resolution

6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas

A.AFRICA
Chad/Libya 
Ethiopia/Somalia
Western Sahara 

B.AMERICAS
Costa Rica/Nicaragua

7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia

Afghanistan/Pakistan 
China/Vietnam

8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East

A.EUROPE
Finland/Russia-USSR
Poland/Russia-USSR

B.MIDDLE EAST     
Iran/Iraq

9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region

Georgia/Russia-USSR
Inter-Korea 
North Vietnam/U.S. 
Taiwan Strait

10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?

Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset 
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence 
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution<div><br>11. Critique of International Studies

A.SHORTCOMINGS
Intolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings  
Closed-Mind Mentality
Tendency to Research Fashions                                                                                                                                                                                   Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WP
Low Value placed on Cumulation of Knowledge
B.FLAWED DICHOTOMIES
Theory vs. History as Approaches to Knowledge
Deductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory 
Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry 
Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis 
Large ‘N’ vs. Small ‘N’ clusters of data 
System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis 
Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior)  Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics                      

C.FINAL WORDS

Notă biografică

Michael Brecher is the R.B. Angus Professor of Political Science at McGill University, Canada.

Textul de pe ultima copertă

This book is designed to present a fully developed theory of international crisis and conflict, along with substantial evidence of these two closely related phenomena. The book begins with a discussion of these topics at a theoretical level, defining and elaborating on core concepts: international crisis, interstate conflict, severity, and impact. This is followed by a discussion of the international system, along with two significant illustrations, the Berlin Blockade crisis (1948) and the India-Pakistan crisis over Kashmir (1965-66). The book then presents a unified model of crisis, focusing on the four phases of an international crisis, which incorporate the four periods of foreign policy crises for individual states. Findings from thirteen conflicts representing six regional clusters are then analyzed, concluding with a set of hypotheses and evidence on conflict onset, persistence, and resolution.

Caracteristici

Presents theoretical findings and reflections on extensive archive of 450 case studies on international crises
Addresses critical questions around the causes, escalation, and resolution of international crises to explore the crisis-conflict-war linkage
Offers the first book-length exposition of the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project
Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras