Big Dragon: The Future of China: What It Means for Business, the Economy, and the Global Order
Autor Daniel Burstein, Arne De keijzeren Limba Engleză Paperback – 5 iul 1999
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9780684853666
ISBN-10: 0684853663
Pagini: 416
Ilustrații: sidebars
Dimensiuni: 140 x 216 x 28 mm
Greutate: 0.44 kg
Ediția:Revised
Editura: Free Press
Colecția Free Press
ISBN-10: 0684853663
Pagini: 416
Ilustrații: sidebars
Dimensiuni: 140 x 216 x 28 mm
Greutate: 0.44 kg
Ediția:Revised
Editura: Free Press
Colecția Free Press
Notă biografică
Daniel Burstein is the author of five books on global economics and technology trends, including bestselling titles such as Yen! and Road Warriors. He is Senior Advisor at the Blackstone Group, a leading New York investment bank, and makes his home in Connecticut.
Cuprins
Contents
Introduction: Present at the Creation
Part I: INSIDE THE NEW COLD WAR
Strategy and Management
Chapter 1. A New and Unnecessary Cold War Takes Shape
The End of History and the Burgers of Beijing
The Great Leap Backward: From China Boom to China Threat
The Ironies of History
Toward Resolving the Cold War
Chapter 2. The Eagle and the Dragon (I): From Clipper Ships to Tiananmen Square
West Meets East
Missionaries and Demonizers
The Cultural Revolution in China -- and America
Playing the China Card
Trading with the Enemy
Deng Xiaoping in a Stetson
1989: A Tale of Two Squares
"To Get Rich Is Glorious!"
The Lure of the China Market
Chapter 3. The Eagle and the Dragon (II): To the Brink
Is It Economics, Stupid? Or Stupid Economics?
The Problem with the 800-Pound Gorilla
"Sino-American Relations Are in Free Fall"
Brinksmanship in the Straits of Taiwan
The China That Says No
The Left and the Right
Coffee or Tea?
Rethinking and Rethinking Again
Talk, Talk, Fight, Fight
The Context Is Crucial, and That Context Is Progress
Chapter 4. Competing and Cooperating with the World's New Economic Superpower
1. China Ascendant: From Main Street to Wall Street, from the Boardroom to the Beltway
2. Are the Chinese Stealing American Jobs?
3. The Great Global Game of Go
4. Piracy of Digital Bits
5. It's Not Just China: Here Comes the New G-7
6. Eating Big Macs Doesn't Make It McChina
7. Toward the "Confucian Social Market"
8. "China Could Be Like Japan on Steroids"
9. A Different Kind of "World's Largest Economy"
Chapter 5. Threat or Challenge?
Of Divas, Tenors, and Peking Opera
The "China Threat" Reconsidered
China as Military Threat to the United States
China Has Declared the United States Its Enemy
China as an Expansionist Power in Asia
China Behaves Aggressively and Provocatively Toward Taiwan
China Is a Rogue Nation That Refuses to Play by International Rules
China Is a Fascist Dictatorship and the World's Leading Human Rights Violator
Alternatives, Anyone?
The Myth of the Allies
PART II: BENCHMARKING CHINA
The Shanghai Allusion
Chapter 6. Of Bulls, Bears, and Being Moderately Bullish
The Bulls Have Their Run
The Bears Have Reasons to Growl
Our Own View
Chapter 7. China's Burdens
The Burden of Scale
The Burden of Nature and Geography
The Burden of History and Culture
Chapter 8. Impossible Problems -- and Possible Solutions
Winners and Losers
"The Center Has Its Measures but the Provinces Have Their Countermeasures"
Socialist Dreams, Capitalist Nightmares
Corruption: Back Door to Modern Capitalism?
Chapter 9. The Impulse Toward Unity: The Geopolitical Meaning of the "Middle Kingdom"
Maintaining Territorial Integrity
Chapter 10. "Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones"
The Yangzi Is Not the Mississippi
Looking in the Mirror
An Explosion Still Ahead?
PART III: JUMPING INTO THE SEA
A Thousand Rivers
Chapter 11. Zhang Wei: Finding Answers to the Question of Ownership
Chapter 12. Chen Ping: The Adventurer
Chapter 13. Feng Lun: Master Builder
The Lessons of Entrepreneurship
PART IV: GEOMANCING THE DRAGON
Wind and Water
Chapter 14. The Next Five Years: The Dragon at Home
Rites of Passage: The Post-Deng Succession Struggle, 1998-2002
After Jiang, What? Generational Politics, Chinese Style
Mao Is Back!?!?
"May You Live in Interesting Times"
Chapter 15. The Next Five Years: The Dragon Peers Out
Hong Kong: Life After 1997
Taiwan: A Contrarian View
Tibet: The Next Taiwan
Japan Plays Its China Card
Food for Thought Provocation: When China's Military Is Modernized
Chapter 16. Scenarios for the Twenty-first Century
The Overall Political-Economic Framework
The Great Wall in Ruins: The Search for New Values
Postcommunist Politics
The New Chinese Corporation and the Future of the State-Owned Enterprises
Big Versus Fast
"Connectivity": A Vision of China's Future Shape
The Three Gorges Dam: A Study in Environmental Politics
Chapter 17. Fast-Forward to the Future:
The Superdragon in 2024
Looking Back from 2024
PART V: BEYOND THE COLD WAR
The Past, the Future, and a Talk with Deng Xiaoping
Chapter 18. The New Shanghai Compact: Maximizing Opportunity, Minimizing Conflict
For a Policy of "Dynamic Engagement"
Starting Points
What Is Strength? What Is Weakness? What Is Leverage?
Specific Initiatives, Strategies, and Tactics
Toward a Partnership That Recognizes Differences:
The Shanghai Compact of 2002
Notes
Acknowledgments
Index
Introduction: Present at the Creation
Part I: INSIDE THE NEW COLD WAR
Strategy and Management
Chapter 1. A New and Unnecessary Cold War Takes Shape
The End of History and the Burgers of Beijing
The Great Leap Backward: From China Boom to China Threat
The Ironies of History
Toward Resolving the Cold War
Chapter 2. The Eagle and the Dragon (I): From Clipper Ships to Tiananmen Square
West Meets East
Missionaries and Demonizers
The Cultural Revolution in China -- and America
Playing the China Card
Trading with the Enemy
Deng Xiaoping in a Stetson
1989: A Tale of Two Squares
"To Get Rich Is Glorious!"
The Lure of the China Market
Chapter 3. The Eagle and the Dragon (II): To the Brink
Is It Economics, Stupid? Or Stupid Economics?
The Problem with the 800-Pound Gorilla
"Sino-American Relations Are in Free Fall"
Brinksmanship in the Straits of Taiwan
The China That Says No
The Left and the Right
Coffee or Tea?
Rethinking and Rethinking Again
Talk, Talk, Fight, Fight
The Context Is Crucial, and That Context Is Progress
Chapter 4. Competing and Cooperating with the World's New Economic Superpower
1. China Ascendant: From Main Street to Wall Street, from the Boardroom to the Beltway
2. Are the Chinese Stealing American Jobs?
3. The Great Global Game of Go
4. Piracy of Digital Bits
5. It's Not Just China: Here Comes the New G-7
6. Eating Big Macs Doesn't Make It McChina
7. Toward the "Confucian Social Market"
8. "China Could Be Like Japan on Steroids"
9. A Different Kind of "World's Largest Economy"
Chapter 5. Threat or Challenge?
Of Divas, Tenors, and Peking Opera
The "China Threat" Reconsidered
China as Military Threat to the United States
China Has Declared the United States Its Enemy
China as an Expansionist Power in Asia
China Behaves Aggressively and Provocatively Toward Taiwan
China Is a Rogue Nation That Refuses to Play by International Rules
China Is a Fascist Dictatorship and the World's Leading Human Rights Violator
Alternatives, Anyone?
The Myth of the Allies
PART II: BENCHMARKING CHINA
The Shanghai Allusion
Chapter 6. Of Bulls, Bears, and Being Moderately Bullish
The Bulls Have Their Run
The Bears Have Reasons to Growl
Our Own View
Chapter 7. China's Burdens
The Burden of Scale
The Burden of Nature and Geography
The Burden of History and Culture
Chapter 8. Impossible Problems -- and Possible Solutions
Winners and Losers
"The Center Has Its Measures but the Provinces Have Their Countermeasures"
Socialist Dreams, Capitalist Nightmares
Corruption: Back Door to Modern Capitalism?
Chapter 9. The Impulse Toward Unity: The Geopolitical Meaning of the "Middle Kingdom"
Maintaining Territorial Integrity
Chapter 10. "Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones"
The Yangzi Is Not the Mississippi
Looking in the Mirror
An Explosion Still Ahead?
PART III: JUMPING INTO THE SEA
A Thousand Rivers
Chapter 11. Zhang Wei: Finding Answers to the Question of Ownership
Chapter 12. Chen Ping: The Adventurer
Chapter 13. Feng Lun: Master Builder
The Lessons of Entrepreneurship
PART IV: GEOMANCING THE DRAGON
Wind and Water
Chapter 14. The Next Five Years: The Dragon at Home
Rites of Passage: The Post-Deng Succession Struggle, 1998-2002
After Jiang, What? Generational Politics, Chinese Style
Mao Is Back!?!?
"May You Live in Interesting Times"
Chapter 15. The Next Five Years: The Dragon Peers Out
Hong Kong: Life After 1997
Taiwan: A Contrarian View
Tibet: The Next Taiwan
Japan Plays Its China Card
Food for Thought Provocation: When China's Military Is Modernized
Chapter 16. Scenarios for the Twenty-first Century
The Overall Political-Economic Framework
The Great Wall in Ruins: The Search for New Values
Postcommunist Politics
The New Chinese Corporation and the Future of the State-Owned Enterprises
Big Versus Fast
"Connectivity": A Vision of China's Future Shape
The Three Gorges Dam: A Study in Environmental Politics
Chapter 17. Fast-Forward to the Future:
The Superdragon in 2024
Looking Back from 2024
PART V: BEYOND THE COLD WAR
The Past, the Future, and a Talk with Deng Xiaoping
Chapter 18. The New Shanghai Compact: Maximizing Opportunity, Minimizing Conflict
For a Policy of "Dynamic Engagement"
Starting Points
What Is Strength? What Is Weakness? What Is Leverage?
Specific Initiatives, Strategies, and Tactics
Toward a Partnership That Recognizes Differences:
The Shanghai Compact of 2002
Notes
Acknowledgments
Index
Recenzii
Robert A. Kapp President, The U.S.-China Business Council Big Dragon is the book of the year....should be read by everyone with an interest in the U.S.-China relationship.
Jeffrey E. Garten Harvard Business Review The authors skillfully navigate through the minefield of tensions inherent in relations between the United States and China....A thoughtful discussion about problems and possibilities, eventually arriving at a sensible and balanced prescription.
The Philadelphia Inquirer A well-written, richly detailed appraisal of "the work in progress that is China"...provides a wealth of substantive information and fresh insights....An original, valuable addition to the worldwide dialogue about China's future global impact.
The Washington Post A sensible tome...written in a sprightly style helped along by thought-provoking quotes from a variety of China watchers.
Jeffrey E. Garten Harvard Business Review The authors skillfully navigate through the minefield of tensions inherent in relations between the United States and China....A thoughtful discussion about problems and possibilities, eventually arriving at a sensible and balanced prescription.
The Philadelphia Inquirer A well-written, richly detailed appraisal of "the work in progress that is China"...provides a wealth of substantive information and fresh insights....An original, valuable addition to the worldwide dialogue about China's future global impact.
The Washington Post A sensible tome...written in a sprightly style helped along by thought-provoking quotes from a variety of China watchers.
Descriere
The first book on the subject to be published since the death of Deng Xiaping, BIG DRAGON provides a hard headed, realistic, and ultimately positive vision of how China's political landscape will change over the next 25 years.