Cantitate/Preț
Produs

Decision-Making under Uncertainty: An Applied Statistics Approach

Autor George K. Chacko
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 31 oct 1990 – vârsta până la 17 ani
In real-life decision-making situations it is necessary to make decisions with incomplete information, for oftentimes uncertain results. In Decision-Making Under Uncertainty, Dr. Chacko applies his years of statistical research and experience to the analysis of twenty-four real-life decision-making situations, both those with few data points (eg: Cuban Missile Crisis), and many data points (eg: aspirin for heart attack prevention). These situations encompass decision-making in a variety of business, social and political, physical and biological, and military environments. Though different, all of these have one characteristic in common: their outcomes are uncertain/unkown, and unknowable. Chacko Demonstrates how the decision-maker can reduce uncertainty by choosing probable outcomes using the statistical methods he introduces.This detailed volume develops standard statistical concepts (t, x2, normal distribution, ANOVA), and the less familiar concepts (logical probability, subjective probability, Bayesian Inference, Penalty for Non-Fulfillment, Bluff-Threats Matrix, etc.). Chacko also offers a thorough discussion of the underlying theoretical principles. The end of each chapter contains a set of questions, three quarters of which focus on concepts, formulation, conclusion, resource commitments, and caveats; only one quarter with computations. Ideal for the practitioner, the work is also designed to serve as the primary text for graduate or advanced undergraduate courses in statistics and decision science.
Citește tot Restrânge

Preț: 43851 lei

Preț vechi: 60460 lei
-27% Nou

Puncte Express: 658

Preț estimativ în valută:
8392 8738$ 7092£

Carte tipărită la comandă

Livrare economică 10-24 martie

Preluare comenzi: 021 569.72.76

Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780275935696
ISBN-10: 0275935698
Pagini: 272
Ilustrații: bibliography, index
Dimensiuni: 156 x 235 x 19 mm
Greutate: 0.56 kg
Editura: Bloomsbury Publishing
Colecția Praeger
Locul publicării:New York, United States

Notă biografică

GEORGE K. CHACKO is Professor of Systems Science at the University of Southern California, and formerly the manager of operations research at Hughes Semiconductor Division. His previous works include Technology Management (Praeger 1988) and Dynamic Program Management (Praeger 1989).

Cuprins

PrefaceSingle-Variable Decision-Making with Very Few Data PointsIrrevocable Commitment with Incomplete DataDecision-Making with Very Few Data PointsSingle-Variable Decision-Making with Very Many Data PointsDecision-Making with Very Many Data PointsNull Hypothesis Foundations of Standard Statistical TablesMultiple-Variable Decision-Making with Very Many Data PointsPairwise and Groupwise TogethernessDynamic Replication of RealitySingle- and Multiple Variable Decision-Making with Very Few Data Points--Single Decision-MakersImproving the Initial Guess with New DataFirm Decisions on Fuzzy FoundationsSingle and Multiple Variable Decision-Making with Very Few Data Points--Multiple Decision-MakersAttitude Toward Outcomes--Single and Multiple Decision-MakersAggregate Action-Outcome Anticipations of Multiple Decision-MakersAnswers to QuestionsAppendix: Standard Statistical TablesBibliographyIndex