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Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy: Quantitatives Controlling

Autor Sebastian Gell
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 3 apr 2012
​Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9783834939364
ISBN-10: 3834939366
Pagini: 144
Ilustrații: XXIV, 125 p.
Dimensiuni: 148 x 210 x 13 mm
Greutate: 0.2 kg
Ediția:2012
Editura: Gabler Verlag
Colecția Gabler Verlag
Seria Quantitatives Controlling

Locul publicării:Wiesbaden, Germany

Public țintă

Research

Cuprins

​Financial analysts.- Earnings forecast error.- Earnings forecast accuracy.- Earnings forecast revision.- Conservatism.- Forecast effort.

Notă biografică

Dr. Sebastian Gell received his doctoral degree from the University of Cologne under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Carsten Homburg (Department of Business Administration and Management Accounting).
 

Textul de pe ultima copertă

Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. Sebastian Gell gives answer to the following questions: How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?  And what factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?