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Drought Early Warning and Forecasting: Theory and Practice

Autor Chris Funk, Shraddhanand Shukla
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 2 iun 2020
Drought risk management involves three pillars: drought early warning, drought vulnerability and risk assessment, and drought preparedness, mitigation, and response. This book collects in one place a description of all the key components of the first pillar, and describes strategies for fitting these pieces together. The best modern drought early warning systems incorporate and integrate a broad array of environmental information sources: weather station observations, satellite imagery, land surface and crop model simulations, and weather and climate model forecasts, and analyze this information in context-relevant ways that take into account exposure and vulnerability. Drought Early Warning and Forecasting: Theory and Practice assembles a comprehensive overview of these components, providing examples drawn from the Famine Early Warning Systems Network and the United States Drought Monitor. This book simultaneously addresses the physical, social, and information management aspects of drought early warning, and informs readers about the tools, techniques, and conceptual models required to effectively identify, predict, and communicate potential drought-related disasters.
This book is a key text for postgraduate scientists and graduate and advanced undergraduate students in hydrology, geography, earth sciences, meteorology, climatology, and environmental sciences programs. Professionals dealing with disaster management and drought forecasting will also find this book beneficial to their work.


  • Describes and discusses the strategies and components used in effective and integrated 21st century drought early warning systems
  • Provides a one-stop-shop that describes in one book the observations, models, forecasts, indices, social context, and theory used in drought early warning
  • Identifies the latest tools and approaches used to monitor and forecast drought, sources of predictive skill, and discusses the technical and theoretical details required to use these tools and approaches in a real-world setting
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780128140116
ISBN-10: 0128140119
Pagini: 238
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 mm
Greutate: 0.33 kg
Editura: ELSEVIER SCIENCE

Public țintă

Post-graduate scientists, graduate and advanced undergraduate students in hydrology, geography, earth sciences, meteorology, climatology or environmental sciences programs, Disaster Management professionals, insurance cat modelers

Cuprins

1. Droughts, governance, disasters, and response systems2. Drought early warning—definitions, challenges, and opportunities3. Drought early warning systems4. Tools of the trade 1—weather and climate forecasts5. Tools of the trade 2—land surface models6. Tools of the trade 3—mapping exposure and vulnerability7. Theory—understanding atmospheric demand in a warming world8. Theory—indices for measuring drought severity9. Sources of drought early warning skill, staged prediction systems, and an example for Somalia10. Practice—evaluating forecast skill11. Practice—integrating observations and climate forecasts12. Practice—actionable information and decision-making networks13. Final thoughts