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Dutch Book Arguments: Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy

Autor Richard Pettigrew
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 16 sep 2020
Our beliefs come in degrees. I'm 70% confident it will rain tomorrow, and 0.001% sure my lottery ticket will win. What's more, we think these degrees of belief should abide by certain principles if they are to be rational. For instance, you shouldn't believe that a person's taller than 6ft more strongly than you believe that they're taller than 5ft, since the former entails the latter. In Dutch Book arguments, we try to establish the principles of rationality for degrees of belief by appealing to their role in guiding decisions. In particular, we show that degrees of belief that don't satisfy the principles will always guide action in some way that is bad or undesirable. In this Element, we present Dutch Book arguments for the principles of Probabilism, Conditionalization, and the Reflection Principle, among others, and we formulate and consider the most serious objections to them.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781108713443
ISBN-10: 1108713440
Pagini: 75
Ilustrații: 6 b/w illus.
Dimensiuni: 150 x 230 x 10 mm
Greutate: 0.15 kg
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Seria Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy

Locul publicării:Cambridge, United Kingdom

Cuprins

1. Overview; 2. Introducing Dutch Book arguments; 3. Rewriting the Dutch Book; 4. Updating and evidence; 5. The choices credences rationally require; 6. The alleged irrationality of being exploitable; 7. Generalizing the Dutch Book arguments; 8. The mathematics of the Dutch Book arguments.

Descriere

This Element establishes the principles of rationality for degrees of belief by appealing to their role in guiding decisions.