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Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure: Neodeterministic (NDSHA) Approach Guarantees Prevention Rather Than Cure

Editat de Giuliano Panza, Vladimir G. Kossobokov, Efraim Laor, Benedetto DeVivo
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 25 mai 2021
Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure: Neodeterministic (NDSHA) Approach Guarantees Prevention Rather Than Cure communicates in one comprehensive volume the state-of-the-art scientific knowledge on earthquakes and related risks. Earthquakes occur in a seemingly random way and, in some cases, it is possible to trace seismicity back to the concept of deterministic chaos. Therefore, seismicity can be explained by a deterministic mechanism that arises as a result of various convection movements in the Earth’s mantle, expressed in the modern movement of lithospheric plates fueled by tidal forces. Consequently, to move from a perspective focused on the response to emergencies to a new perspective based on prevention and sustainability, it is necessary to follow this neodeterministic approach (NDSHA) to guarantee prevention, saving lives and infrastructure.
This book describes in a complete and consistent way an effective explanation to complex structures, systems, and components, and prescribes solutions to practical challenges. It reflects the scientific novelty and promises a feasible, workable, theoretical and applicative attitude.
Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure serves a “commentary role” for developers and designers of critical infrastructure and unique installations. Commentary-like roles follow standard, where there is no standard.
Mega-installations embody/potentiate risks; nonetheless, lack a comprehensive classic standard. Every compound is unique, one of its kind, and differs from others even of similar function. There is no justification to elaborate a common standard for unique entities. On the other hand, these specific installations, for example, NPPs, Naval Ports, Suez Canal, HazMat production sites, and nuclear waste deposits, impose security and safety challenges to people and the environment. The book offers a benchmark for entrepreneurs, designers, constructors, and operators on how to compile diverse relevant information on site-effects and integrate it into the best-educated guess to keep safe and secure, people and environment.
The authors are eager to convey the entire information and explanations to our readers, without missing either accurate information or explanations. That is achieved by “miniaturization,” as much is possible, not minimization.
So far, the neodeterministic method has been successfully applied in numerous metropolitan areas and regions such as Delhi (India), Beijing (China), Naples (Italy), Algiers (Algeria), Cairo (Egypt), Santiago de Cuba (Cuba), Thessaloniki (Greece), South-East Asia (2004), Tohoku, Japan (2011), Albania (2019), Bangladesh, Iran, Sumatra, Ecuador, and elsewhere. Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure includes case studies from these areas, as well as suggested applications to other seismically active areas around the globe. NDSHA approaches confirm/validate that science is looming to warn. Concurrently, leaders and practitioners have to learn to use rectified science in favor of peoples' safety. State-of-the-art science does have the know-how to reduce casualties and structural damage from potential catastrophes to a bearable incident.


  • The only book to cover earthquake prediction and preparation from a neo-deterministic (NDSHA) approach
  • Includes case studies from metropolitan areas where the neo-deterministic method has been successfully applied
  • Editors and authors include top experts in academia, disaster prevention, and preparedness management
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780128235034
ISBN-10: 0128235039
Pagini: 672
Ilustrații: 120 illustrations (40 in full color)
Dimensiuni: 191 x 235 x 39 mm
Greutate: 1.14 kg
Editura: ELSEVIER SCIENCE

Public țintă

"Primary market/audience (and market size, if known) : Seismologists and geophysicists
Secondary market/audience: : Civil engineers; hazard and disaster planners/managers

Cuprins

1. Hazard, risks, and prediction 
Vladimir Kossobokov
2. Seismic hazard assessment from the perspective of disaster prevention 
Jens-Uwe Klugel
3. The view of a structural engineer about reliable seismic hazard assessment
Paolo Rugarli
4. Disaster prediction and civil preparedness 
Efraim Laor and Benedetto De Vivo
5. The integration between seismology and geodesy for intermediate-term narrow-range earthquake prediction according to NDSHA
Mattia Crespi, Vladimir Kossobokov, Antonella Peresan and Giuliano F. Panza
6. Modeling the block-and-fault structure dynamics with application to studying seismicity and geodynamics 
Alexander Soloviev
7. Morphostructural zoning for identifying earthquake-prone areas 
Alexander Gorshkov and Alexander Soloviev
8. Earthquake forecasting and time- dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment in Italy and surroundings 
Antonella Peresan and Leontina Romashkova
9. Spreading NDSHA application from Italy to other areas 
Fabio Romanelli, Giorgio Altin and Maurizio Indirli
10. S-wave velocity profiling for site response evaluation in urban areas 
Maria Rosaria Costanzo and Concettina Nunziata
11. A user-friendly approach to NDSHA computations 
Franco Vaccari and Andrea Magrin
12. Recent applications of NDSHA: seismic input for high rise buildings in Egypt’s New Administrative Capital 
Mohamed N. Elgabry, Hany M. Hassan and Hesham Hussein
13. Neodeterministic method to assess the seismic performance of water distribution networks 
Gian Paolo Cimellaro, Melissa De Iuliis and Sebastiano Marasco
14. Seismic hazard analysis in a historical context: experience at caltrans and elsewhere 
Lalliana Mualchin
15. Where there is no science - probabilistic hazard assessment in volcanological and nuclear waste settings: facts, needs, and challenges in Italy
Benedetto De Vivo, Efraim Laor and Giuseppe Rolandi
16. Seismic hazard and earthquake engineering for engineering community
Junbo Jia
17. Scenario-based seismic hazard analysis and its applications in the central United States
Zhenming Wang, Seth N. Carpenter and Edward W. Woolery
18. NDSHA achievements in Central and South-eastern Europe 
Mihaela Kouteva-Guentcheva, Carmen Cioflan, Ivanka Paskaleva and Giuliano F. Panza
19. Application of NDSHA to historical urban areas 
Concettina Nunziata and Maria Rosaria Costanzo
20. Insights from neo-deterministic seismic hazard analyses in Romania 
Carmen Ortanza Cioflan, Elena Florinela Manea and Bogdan Felix Apostol
21. NDSHA in Bulgaria 
Mihaela Kouteva-Guentcheva, Ivanka Paskaleva and Giuliano F. Panza
22. NDSHA-based vulnerability evaluation of precode buildings in Republic of North Macedonia: Novel
experiences 
Elena Dumova-Jovanoska and Kristina Milkova
23. Seismic characterization of Tiranae DurrëseLezha region (northwestern Albania) and analysis effort through NSHDA method
Sokol Marku, Rapo Ormeni and Giuliano F. Panza
24. Regional application of the NDSHA approach for continental seismogenic sources in the Iberian Peninsula
Mariano García-Fernández, Franco Vaccari, María-José Jiménez, Andrea Magrin, Fabio Romanelli and Giuliano F. Panza
25. NDSHA applied to China
Yan Zhang, Lihua Fang, Fabio Romanelli,Zhifeng Ding, Shanghua Gao, Changsheng, Jiang and Zhongliang Wu
26. Application of neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment to India 
Imtiyaz A. Parvez
27. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment for Pakistan 
Farhana Sarwar, Franco Vaccari and Andrea Magrin
28. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment studies for Bangladesh 
Tahmeed M. Al-Hussaini, Ishika N. Chowdhury, Hasan al Faysal, Sudipta Chakraborty, Franco Vaccari, Fabio Romanelli and Andrea Magrin
29. Application of NDSHA at regional and local scale in Iran 
Habib Rahimi and Mehdi Rastgoo
30. Application of neodeterministic seismic hazard analysis to Sumatra 
Irwandi Irwandi

Recenzii

"The main merit of the volume is to harmonize the voice of its 56 contributors, who basically all agree not to underestimate the seismic danger, anywhere in the world, and to promote more prudential models such as the NDSHA at a time when safety codes earthquakes all over the world are still anchored to obsolete and therefore dangerous systems. The hidden message of the book is to continue to study what is underground, to better prepare life on the surface." --Giulio Breglia

"The reading of this text will therefore offer food for thought to the researcher, the technician, and the enthusiast because it combines the rigorous scientific research of the sector with its applications in human environments, pausing to discuss concepts such as probability, risk and reliability that are so much in use but often little explained. This volume will be a unique opportunity for all readers, geologists, engineers or simple enthusiasts to learn about a subject that by its multidisciplinary nature is known in its many aspects only by experts." --Giovanna Vessia

"The editors of the volume Giuliano F. Panza, Vladimir G. Kossobokov, Efraim Laor and benedetto De Vivo, have done an excellent job in presenting the innovative essay of the NDSHA. The reader will find a useful handbook to clarify the advantages of a scenario-based approach for determining the seismic hazard to increase the safety of people, buildings, and infrastructures. Some parts of the methodology such as the modeling the block-and-fault structure dynamics with application to studying seismicity and the morpho-structural zoning for identifying earthquake-prone areas may be difficult to be digested by the geological community; nevertheless, it is a useful stimulus to move forward to a new paradigm for seismic hazard analysis. This is the unavoidable base for any further improvement of seismic risk reduction. In summary, this book is an excellent reference that should be readily handy on the shelf of every practicing seismologist and seismic engineer. In the hands of an experienced instructor, the book will also serve students as a great textbook." --Carlo Doglioni

“...represents a significant milestone, compiling developments of this new approach over the past 25 years.... to advance the establishment of a new paradigm for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment. It aims to create a synergy of the most up-to-date available scientific knowledge that ensures prevention and reduction of unacceptable losses rather than merely addressing the consequences of disasters.... [W]ell organized both scientifically and in its application.... [F]osters interdisciplinary discussion by providing a comprehensive and engaging exploration of seismic hazard assessment, bridging the gap between engineering principles and the needs of seismologists, engineering seismologists, and policymakers.... The book serves both as a summary of the achievements of NDSHA over the past quarter-century and as a guideline for further development.” --Earthquake Science Journal - Zengping Wen and Guoxin Wang