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Economic Trend Analysis for Executives and Investors

Autor Howard G. Schaefer
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 29 iun 1993 – vârsta până la 17 ani
This book combines both a comprehensive analytical framework and economic statistics that enable business decision makers to anticipate developing economic trends. The author blends recent and historical economic data with economic theory to provide important benchmarks or rules of thumb that give both economists and noneconomists enhanced understanding of unfolding economic data and their interrelationships. Through the matrix system, a disciplined approach is described for integrating readily available economic data into a comprehensive analysis without complex formulas. The extensive appendix of monthly key economic factors for 1978-1991 makes this an important reference source for economic and financial trend analysis.A new and practical method for economic trend analysis is introduced that provides more advanced knowledge than available from economic newsletters. Schaeffer begins with a general description of the business cycle and the typical behavior and effect of the credit markets, commercial banks, and the Federal Reserve. Next, fourteen key economic factors regularly reported by the business press are described, such as the capacity utilization rate and yield on three-month Treasury bills. Benchmarks for each of these key economic factors are set forth, together with an insightful discussion of the interrelationships indicating economic trends. A detailed discussion of the 1978-1991 American economy, incorporating monthly data from the historical matrix, demonstrates the practical application of the matrix system. Executives, investors, financial officers, and government policymakers will find this book useful in decision making.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780899308227
ISBN-10: 0899308228
Pagini: 232
Dimensiuni: 156 x 235 x 14 mm
Greutate: 0.51 kg
Ediția:New.
Editura: Bloomsbury Publishing
Colecția Praeger
Locul publicării:New York, United States

Notă biografică

HOWARD G. SCHAEFER is managing director of Schaefer Brothers, Ltd., a Los Angeles based investment banking firm. He previously practiced as a corporate lawyer and tax accountant specializing in corporate and international business matters. A former treasurer of the California Republican Party and member of its board of directors, he is also a frequent lecturer and writer on business and economic issues.

Cuprins

IntroductionBusiness CyclesContinuation of Business CyclesRecessionary or Contracting PeriodBeginning of TurnaroundThe UpswingFull CapacitySeeds for Major DownturnConclusionBanking, Credit, and the Money SupplyThe Credit MarketsMoney SupplyLoans and Bank LiquidityCredit Supply and Interest RatesThe Federal Reserve SystemFederal Reserve Reaction to Business CyclePrimary Economic Factors: Definitions and BenchmarksGross Domestic ProductThe Primary FactorsPrimary Economic Factors: RelationshipsRelationship AnalysisPrimary Economic Factors: The MatrixInitial Analytical ApproachAnalytical TechniquesMatrix Application by Executives and InvestorsOther Economic FactorsOther Economic FactorsComparing Economic FactorsThe Dilemma of Economic PolicyThe Pricing SystemThe Nature of Industrial Economic ActivityPrice StabilityThe Unintended Consequences of Price StabilityThe DilemmaThe Shift to Influencing OutputCurrent Emphasis on Output and Resulting Price InstabilityThe New Emphasis on ProductivityAnticipating Changes in the Consumer Price IndexReview of Historical DataPurpose of Historical AnalysisOverview, 1978-1991Review by YearGetting StartedSources of Primary FactorsUpdating Historical MatrixMatrix MaintenanceBibliographyAppendix: Historical Matrix 1978-1991 and Supporting DataIndex