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Expert-generated Data: Applications In International Affairs

Autor Gerald W. Hopple
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 18 dec 2020
In the aftermath of the "explosion" of "hard" data sets in the 1960s for the study of international relations, there has been a movement back toward the use of various experts to quantify the more elusive aspects of the international situation. These aspects range from the beliefs and perceptions of decision makers to the array of stresses that confront nation-states both internally and externally. This volume reflects the most recent and innovative work in the use of data generated by academic, policy, and other experts. The authors discuss expert-generated data as a means of data making, data refinement, and policy analysis. They present all of the major expert-based approaches and offer a variety of methodological and substantive applications.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780367022174
ISBN-10: 0367022176
Pagini: 320
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 mm
Greutate: 0.75 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom

Cuprins

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS, CONTRIBUTORS, 1 - EXPERT-GENERATED DATA: AN OVERVIEW, 2 - METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES AND PROBLEMS IN EMPLOYING EXPERT-GENERATED DATA, 3 - COMPUTER-BASED BAYESIAN FORECASTING METHODOLOGIES, 4 - APPLICATIONS OF BAYESIAN INFERENCE IN POLITICAL INTELLIGENCE, 5 - DECISION AIDS: ENGINEERING SCIENCE AND CLINICAL ART, 6 - OPEC: A FRAGILE UNITY, 7 - DIVISIONS WITHIN THE CUBAN LEADERSHIP: A SIMULATED POLL, 8 - JUDGMENTS OF COUNTRY SPECIALISTS ABOUT FOREIGN POLICY FORMATION: THE OPERATION OF INTERNAL DECISION PROCESSES, 9 - PROBABILITY FORECASTING IN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS, 10 - EVENTS DATA AND THE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS EXPERT: TOWARD A SYNTHESIS?

Notă biografică

Gerald W. Hopple is senior research analyst, International Public Policy Research Corporation.

Descriere

This volume reflects the most recent and innovative work in the use of data generated by academic, policy and other experts. The authors discuss expert-generated data as a means of data making, data refinement and policy analysis, and present all the major expert-based approaches, offering a variety of methodological and substantive applications.