Fatal Grievances: Forecasting and Preventing Active Killer Threats in School, Campus, and Workplace Settings
Autor Gregory M. Vecchi, Mary Ann Markey, Jeffrey A. Danielsen Limba Engleză Paperback – 30 dec 2022
Drawing from established threat assessment, behavioral analysis, and law enforcement negotiation theory and practice, the book presents models and methods designed to forecast and prevent an active killer attack through the process of identification, assessment, and engagement. This approach begins with definitions and orientations to violence, the importance of the primacy of focusing on direct behaviors of planned lethal violence over other more indirect behaviors, understanding how to identify a fatal grievance and that only fatal grievances result in planned lethal violence, the importance of understanding the process of crisis intervention as the key to eliminating the fatal grievance and the motivation to kill, and the use of time-series predictive behavioral threat forecasting methods to prevent an active killer attack. Case studies from within the United States (US) and abroad support this unique approach to threat assessment and make the concepts and principles accessible to professionals working in the fields of education, human resources, and security.
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9780367139094
ISBN-10: 036713909X
Pagini: 184
Ilustrații: 16 Tables, black and white; 26 Line drawings, black and white; 26 Illustrations, black and white
Dimensiuni: 178 x 254 x 14 mm
Greutate: 0.45 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom
ISBN-10: 036713909X
Pagini: 184
Ilustrații: 16 Tables, black and white; 26 Line drawings, black and white; 26 Illustrations, black and white
Dimensiuni: 178 x 254 x 14 mm
Greutate: 0.45 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom
Public țintă
Professional and Professional Practice & DevelopmentCuprins
Preface
Chapter 1. Introduction And Orientation to Active Killer Threat Assessment
Appendix B
Appendix C
Index
References
Chapter 1. Introduction And Orientation to Active Killer Threat Assessment
- Scope of this book
- A paradigm shift from active shooters to active killers
- A change in mindset from being reactive to proactive
- Assessment versus analysis
- Threat intelligence collection and assessment
- The problem with "profiling" active killers
- The importance of operationalizing definitions
- Myth 1: active killers are everywhere
- Myth 2: active killers are only a problem in the United States
- Myth 3: disgruntled students and employees are the only threat to safety
- Myth 4: the attacker just "snapped"
- Myth 5: demographics can identify an active killer
- Active killer motivations
- Grievance as a precursor of lethal violence
- Grievance and the crisis state
- The fatal grievance pathway
- Planned lethal violence
- Direct behaviors and stages of planned lethal violence
- Direct behavioral clusters of planned lethal violence
- The planned lethal violence stairway model
- Indirect behaviors
- Primary indirect behavioral indicators
- Secondary indirect behavioral indicators
- Stress and violence
- Situational distress
- Situational distressors
- The necessity of structure in active killer threat assessment
- Forensic investigation and behavioral analytical methods
- Contextual factors
- Factors of social desirability
- The role of social fabric in threat assessment
- Detecting behavioral indicators of planned lethal violence
- Baselines and anomalies
- Establishing baselines and identifying anomalies
- Bias and error considerations in detecting concerning behavior
- The problem with relying on "pre-attack behaviors" in threat assessment
- Understanding significancy and frequency of anomalies
- Prediction and threat assessment
- Forecasting in threat assessment
- Qualitative and quantitative forecasting
- Predictive analytics and modeling
- Predictive behavioral threat forecasting
- Methodology
- Qualitative adjustments to threat confidence levels
- Completing the threat assessment
- Bias errors in assessing a threat
- Conflict management vs. conflict resolution
- Monitoring
- Third-party intervention
- Direct interventions
- Engagements based on threat level
- Summary of key takeaways
- Limitations
Appendix B
Appendix C
Index
References
Recenzii
"This book breaks into bite-sized pieces the most complicated part of stopping threats to help readers identify a potentially violent person and apply proven avenues to prevent the next catastrophe."
Katherine Schweit, Author of Stop the Killing. Creator of the FBI’s Active Shooter Program
"This book expertly incorporates the theory and practice of crisis and hostage negotiation in effectively engaging potential active killer threats. It is a refreshing ‘Who Cares Wins’ approach to preventing violence."
Dr Gilbert Wong, Life Honorary Consultant of the Hong Kong Police Negotiation Cadre (PNC). Commanding Officer of the PNC (2010 – 2021). Former Chief Superintendent of Police
"A highly thoughtful and originally conceived study, this volume offers a unique, and systematic, way of evaluating so-called active killers, which challenges many orthodox assumptions that have governed previous approaches to the threat. The ultimate value of this book is that it presents new ways of thinking, and a new hope, for dealing with the scourge".
M.L.R. Smith, Chair of Strategic Theory, Department of War Studies, King’s College, University of London. Co-author of Sacred Violence: Political Religion in a Secular Age
Katherine Schweit, Author of Stop the Killing. Creator of the FBI’s Active Shooter Program
"This book expertly incorporates the theory and practice of crisis and hostage negotiation in effectively engaging potential active killer threats. It is a refreshing ‘Who Cares Wins’ approach to preventing violence."
Dr Gilbert Wong, Life Honorary Consultant of the Hong Kong Police Negotiation Cadre (PNC). Commanding Officer of the PNC (2010 – 2021). Former Chief Superintendent of Police
"A highly thoughtful and originally conceived study, this volume offers a unique, and systematic, way of evaluating so-called active killers, which challenges many orthodox assumptions that have governed previous approaches to the threat. The ultimate value of this book is that it presents new ways of thinking, and a new hope, for dealing with the scourge".
M.L.R. Smith, Chair of Strategic Theory, Department of War Studies, King’s College, University of London. Co-author of Sacred Violence: Political Religion in a Secular Age
Notă biografică
Gregory M. Vecchi earned a B.S. in Management/Human Resources from Park University, Parkville, Missouri, an M.S. in Criminal Justice from the University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, Alabama, and a Ph.D. in Conflict Analysis and Resolution from Nova Southeastern University, Fort Lauderdale, Florida. He currently serves as a Professor of Criminal Justice and Homeland Security at Keiser University, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, and he is the Principal of VGI Consulting and Training. Dr. Vecchi has over 30 years of law enforcement experience. Dr. Vecchi formerly served as the Chief of the FBI Behavioral Science Unit and career FBI negotiator. In these positions, he gained extensive experience assessing and interacting with violent offenders, as well as researching, training, and conducting threat assessments. Dr. Vecchi has conducted dozens of workplace threat assessments for Fortune 500 companies.
Mary Ann Markey received a B.A. in Psychology and an M.A. in Psychology from Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, Florida, and Ph.D. in Conflict Analysis and Resolution from Nova Southeastern University, Fort Lauderdale, Florida. She currently serves as an Adjunct Professor of Psychology at Ringling College of Art and Design, Sarasota, Florida while continuing to conduct research on intra-family violence and homicide, mass murder, and serial murder.
Jeffrey A. Daniels earned a B.A. in Psychology at Metropolitan State University, Denver, Colorado, an M.S. in Counseling Psychology from Central Washington University, Ellensburg, Washington, and a Ph.D. in Counseling Psychology from the University of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska. He is currently a professor in the School of Counseling and Well-Being at West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia. Dr. Daniels has been engaged in research pertaining to violence and violence prevention for over 23 years and he has engaged in collaborative research with the FBI for over 16 years using Perpetrator-Motive Research Design.
Mary Ann Markey received a B.A. in Psychology and an M.A. in Psychology from Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, Florida, and Ph.D. in Conflict Analysis and Resolution from Nova Southeastern University, Fort Lauderdale, Florida. She currently serves as an Adjunct Professor of Psychology at Ringling College of Art and Design, Sarasota, Florida while continuing to conduct research on intra-family violence and homicide, mass murder, and serial murder.
Jeffrey A. Daniels earned a B.A. in Psychology at Metropolitan State University, Denver, Colorado, an M.S. in Counseling Psychology from Central Washington University, Ellensburg, Washington, and a Ph.D. in Counseling Psychology from the University of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska. He is currently a professor in the School of Counseling and Well-Being at West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia. Dr. Daniels has been engaged in research pertaining to violence and violence prevention for over 23 years and he has engaged in collaborative research with the FBI for over 16 years using Perpetrator-Motive Research Design.
Descriere
Fatal Grievances: Forecasting and Preventing Active Killer Threats in School, Campus, and Workplace Settings takes a proactive view of active killer threat management and resolution with the goal of preventing the attack before it occurs.