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Government Budget Forecasting: Theory and Practice: Public Administration and Public Policy

Editat de Jinping Sun, Thomas D. Lynch
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 26 mar 2008
Revenue and expenditure forecasting plays an important role in public budgeting and financial management, particularly during times of financial constraint, when citizens impose greater accountability upon government to use taxpayer dollars more efficiently. Despite its significance, revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process, and there is an imbalance between practice and research in this area. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, Government Budget Forecasting fulfills two purposes:
  1. Enhances the understanding of revenue and expenditure estimation both theoretically and practically
  2. Stimulates dialogue and debate among practitioners and academicians to identify good forecast practices as well as areas for improvement
Divided into four parts, this comprehensive reference first examines forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, drawing on case studies that include California, Texas, and Louisiana. It then explores consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors. The text concludes with a call to transparency and guidance from a code of ethics, and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781420045826
ISBN-10: 1420045822
Pagini: 660
Ilustrații: 50 equations; 107 Tables, black and white; 50 Illustrations, color; 101 Illustrations, black and white
Dimensiuni: 156 x 234 x 37 mm
Greutate: 1.04 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Seria Public Administration and Public Policy

Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom

Public țintă

Academic, Postgraduate, Professional, Professional Practice & Development, and Undergraduate

Cuprins

Federal Revenue Forecasting. The State of the Art: Revenue Forecasting in U.S. State Government. Forecasting State Revenues in Louisiana: From Dramatic Changes in the Oil and Gas Industry in the 1970s and 1980s to the Aftermath of Catastrophic Hurricanes in the 2000s. Budget Forecasting for the State of California. Forecasting the Personal Income Tax. Income Tax Forecasting in Minnesota. Methods and Issues in Forecasting Casino Tax Revenue. Estimating and Forecasting Welfare Caseloads. Forecast Evaluation: A Case Study. Using Census Data to Forecast New Local Sales Taxes. Does Revenue Forecasting Responsibility Matter: The Case of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Evaluating Revenue Forecasting in City Governments: A Survey of Texas Finance Directors. Pro Forma Forecasting for Determining Financial Position of Enterprise Operations in Government. Preparing Data for Forecasting. Consensus Forecasting for Budgeting in Theory and Practice. Use of Consensus Revenue Forecasting in the U.S. State Governments. State Revenue Forecasting in the State of Indiana: A Consensus System in a Politically Divided State. Consensus Revenue Estimating in State Government: A Case of What Works in Kansas. Forecast Errors: Balancing the Risks and Costs of Being Wrong. State Fiscal Management: What Practitioners Can Learn from Risk Management Theory. State Tax Portfolios: An Integrated Methodology for Forecasting and Analysis. Forecasting Revenues and Expenditures in the Public Sector: Guidance from a Code of Ethics. Transparency in Government Revenue Forecasting. Incorporating Fiscal Architecture into Budget Forecasting. Forecasting Practices in Emerging Countries: The Morocco Experience.

Notă biografică

Jinping Sun (California State University, Bakersfield, USA) (Edited by) ,  Thomas D. Lynch (Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, USA) (Edited by)

Descriere

Revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, this volume examines U.S. forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, utilizing case studies of various states, including California and Texas. It highlights such issues as casino tax revenues and welfare caseloads to clearly define budget forecasting, explain its importance, and describe how budget forecasts are prepared. The authors explore consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors, concluding with a call for transparency and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.