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Simulation and Optimization Methods in Risk and Reliability Theory

Editat de Pavel S. Knopov, Panos M. Pardalos
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 31 mar 2009
This book introduces recent advances in the area of risk estimation in complex systems. The authors study new methods of accelerated modelling, asymptotical analysis and optimal estimating. The processes are modelled using large failure trees, the methodology of fuzzy sets, bayesians, methods of stochastic optimisation, and optimal models of equipment service and control. The authors suggest applying numerical methods for analysis of super-large failure trees having large amount of multiple vertices. The methods allow finding minimal sections and reducing the amount of time necessary for such calculations. The Bayesians theory is applied under conditions of uncertainty. The methods of finding robust parameter estimates for the most commonly used classes of a priori distribution functions are suggested. As an alternative approach to stochastic methods the authors propose the algorithums of critical stats estimation for the reactor's active zone that utilise the theory of fuzzy logic.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781604566581
ISBN-10: 1604566582
Pagini: 285
Ilustrații: Illustrations
Dimensiuni: 188 x 263 x 25 mm
Greutate: 0.69 kg
Ediția:New.
Editura: Nova Science Publishers Inc

Cuprins

Preface; Problems of risk estimation under uncertainty conditions; Light-traffic analysis of some queuing models with losses; Integrated Modeling for Management of Catastrophic risks: Spatial Stochastic Optimization Model; Fast simulation technique in reliability evaluation of a Markovian and Non-Markovian systems; Reduction measurements for calculation in Fuzzy experiment scheme and soft modelling of dynamic processes in Non-crisp conditions; Development of new mathematical models and methods for determining critical states of nuclear plant reactors; Investigation of bayesian estimates for binomial failure models; Investigation of sensitivity of bayesian estimates for exponential failure models; Multicriteria optimal design problems of ecologically dangerous objects and numerical methods for their solving; Index.