Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting
Editat de Andrew Robertson, Frederic Vitarten Limba Engleză Paperback – 23 oct 2018
The book consists of a set of contributed chapters solicited from experts and leaders in the fields of S2S predictability science, numerical modeling, operational forecasting, and developing application sectors. The introduction and conclusion, written by the co-editors, provides historical perspective, unique synthesis and prospects, and emerging opportunities in this exciting, complex and interdisciplinary field.
- Contains contributed chapters from leaders and experts in sub-seasonal to seasonal science, forecasting and applications
- Provides a one-stop shop for graduate students, academic and applied researchers, and practitioners in an emerging and interdisciplinary field
- Offers a synthesis of the state of S2S science through the use of concrete examples, enabling potential users of S2S forecasts to quickly grasp the potential for application in their own decision-making
- Includes a broad set of topics, illustrated with graphic examples, that highlight interdisciplinary linkages
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9780128117149
ISBN-10: 0128117141
Pagini: 585
Dimensiuni: 191 x 235 x 34 mm
Greutate: 0.99 kg
Editura: ELSEVIER SCIENCE
ISBN-10: 0128117141
Pagini: 585
Dimensiuni: 191 x 235 x 34 mm
Greutate: 0.99 kg
Editura: ELSEVIER SCIENCE
Public țintă
Primary Market: climatologists, meteorologists, atmospheric scientists, Oceanographers, Secondary Market: Professionals working in the fields of energy, insurance, public health, water resource management, disaster risk reduction, agriculture.Cuprins
Part I: Setting the scene 1. Introduction: Why S2S? 2. Weather forecasting: What sets the forecast horizon? 3. Weather within Climate: Sub-seasonal predictability of tropical daily rainfall characteristics 4. Identifying wave processes associated with predictability across time scales: An empirical normal mode approach
Part II: Sources of S2S Predictability 5. The Madden-Julian Oscillation 6. Extratropical sub-seasonal–to–seasonal oscillations and multiple regimes: The dynamical systems view 7. Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections 8. Land surface processes relevant to S2S prediction 9. Midlatitude Meso-scale Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Its Relevance to S2S Prediction 10. The role of sea ice in subseasonal predictability 11. Sub-seasonal Predictability and the Stratosphere
Part III: S2S Modeling and Forecasting 12. Forecast system design, configuration, complexity 13. Ensemble generation: the TIGGE and S2S ensembles 14. GCMs with Full Representation of Cloud Microphysics and Their MJO Simulation 15. Forecast recalibration and multi-model combination 16. Forecast verification for S2S time scales
Part IV: S2S Applications 17. Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather Extremes 18. Pilot experiences in using seamless forecasts for early action: Ready-Set-Go approach in the Red Cross 19. Communication and dissemination of forecasts and engaging user communities 20. Seamless prediction of monsoon onset and active/break phases 21. Lessons learned in 25 years informing sectoral decisions with probabilistic climate forecasts 22. Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales
Part II: Sources of S2S Predictability 5. The Madden-Julian Oscillation 6. Extratropical sub-seasonal–to–seasonal oscillations and multiple regimes: The dynamical systems view 7. Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections 8. Land surface processes relevant to S2S prediction 9. Midlatitude Meso-scale Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Its Relevance to S2S Prediction 10. The role of sea ice in subseasonal predictability 11. Sub-seasonal Predictability and the Stratosphere
Part III: S2S Modeling and Forecasting 12. Forecast system design, configuration, complexity 13. Ensemble generation: the TIGGE and S2S ensembles 14. GCMs with Full Representation of Cloud Microphysics and Their MJO Simulation 15. Forecast recalibration and multi-model combination 16. Forecast verification for S2S time scales
Part IV: S2S Applications 17. Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather Extremes 18. Pilot experiences in using seamless forecasts for early action: Ready-Set-Go approach in the Red Cross 19. Communication and dissemination of forecasts and engaging user communities 20. Seamless prediction of monsoon onset and active/break phases 21. Lessons learned in 25 years informing sectoral decisions with probabilistic climate forecasts 22. Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales