The Devil's Toy Box: Exposing and Defusing Promethean Terrorists
Autor Andrew Foxen Limba Engleză Hardback – 31 mai 2022
A Promethean technology is one that allows someone of average resources, skills, and intelligence to carry out actions that were once only doable by governments, militaries, or institutions with considerable resources. Essentially, Promethean technologies allow users to create their own weapons of mass destruction.
These emerging technologies are increasingly affordable and accessible—and are no more complicated to operate than a satellite TV control box or a smart phone. Although these technologies are a terrifying prospect, the more we know about these dangers, the better we can prepare to head them off.
In The Devil’s Toy Box, Andrew Fox lays out seven decades of preemptive analysis and shows that while homeland security has explored, in depth, the possible Promethean threats the world faces, it has failed to forecast the most likely attacks. Using fictional scenarios Fox teaches how to predict future threats and how to forecast which ones are likely to be used by bad actors within the next five to ten years. Combining the skills of homeland security experts and the imaginations of speculative fiction writers, he then offers an analytical method to deter, counter, or abate these threats, rather than adopting an attitude of resigned fatalism.
These emerging technologies are increasingly affordable and accessible—and are no more complicated to operate than a satellite TV control box or a smart phone. Although these technologies are a terrifying prospect, the more we know about these dangers, the better we can prepare to head them off.
In The Devil’s Toy Box, Andrew Fox lays out seven decades of preemptive analysis and shows that while homeland security has explored, in depth, the possible Promethean threats the world faces, it has failed to forecast the most likely attacks. Using fictional scenarios Fox teaches how to predict future threats and how to forecast which ones are likely to be used by bad actors within the next five to ten years. Combining the skills of homeland security experts and the imaginations of speculative fiction writers, he then offers an analytical method to deter, counter, or abate these threats, rather than adopting an attitude of resigned fatalism.
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9781640124790
ISBN-10: 1640124799
Pagini: 256
Ilustrații: 1 illustration, 3 tables, index
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 28 mm
Greutate: 0.5 kg
Editura: Potomac Books Inc
Colecția Potomac Books
Locul publicării:United States
ISBN-10: 1640124799
Pagini: 256
Ilustrații: 1 illustration, 3 tables, index
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 28 mm
Greutate: 0.5 kg
Editura: Potomac Books Inc
Colecția Potomac Books
Locul publicării:United States
Notă biografică
Andrew Fox has worked for the Department of Homeland Security for fifteen years, starting with the Federal Emergency Management Agency in the wake of Hurricane Katrina. He is currently a management and program analyst for a federal homeland security law enforcement agency. Fox is also a prolific writer of speculative fiction, including the Fat White Vampire series.
Cuprins
List of Illustrations
List of Tables
Acknowledgments
Prologue: The Parable of the Devil’s Toy Box
1. Future Shock Visits the Subway: The 1995 Aum Shinrikyo Sarin Gas Assault as a Prototypical Promethean Terror Strike
2. Made in Japan? Or “Overeducated and Underemployed”?
3. Promethean Technologies: Adding Accelerants to the Spreading Fire
4. Endless Threats: Promethean Technology’s Mind-Bending Challenge to Homeland Security
5. Selecting the Tools to Build a Promethean Spyglass: A Brief Survey of Seventy Years’ Worth of Forecasting Methods
6. The Core of a Devil’s Toy Box Analytical Team? Science Fiction Writers
7. The Promethean Spyglass: Doing a Devil’s Toy Box Analysis Right
Conclusion: Buy That Fire Insurance Policy!
Notes
Index
List of Tables
Acknowledgments
Prologue: The Parable of the Devil’s Toy Box
1. Future Shock Visits the Subway: The 1995 Aum Shinrikyo Sarin Gas Assault as a Prototypical Promethean Terror Strike
2. Made in Japan? Or “Overeducated and Underemployed”?
3. Promethean Technologies: Adding Accelerants to the Spreading Fire
4. Endless Threats: Promethean Technology’s Mind-Bending Challenge to Homeland Security
5. Selecting the Tools to Build a Promethean Spyglass: A Brief Survey of Seventy Years’ Worth of Forecasting Methods
6. The Core of a Devil’s Toy Box Analytical Team? Science Fiction Writers
7. The Promethean Spyglass: Doing a Devil’s Toy Box Analysis Right
Conclusion: Buy That Fire Insurance Policy!
Notes
Index
Recenzii
"This book is an important contribution to the literature on forecasting potential future types of terrorist warfare."—Joshua Sinai, Perspectives on Terrorism
“A fascinating, frightening weave of fiction and fact that brings to life real-world threats—so true it’s terrifying. I’m astonished that Fox’s book isn’t classified at the highest level, as terrorists could exploit these civilization-ending technologies. I only hope our government is frantically working to prevent these scenarios from coming true!”—Col. Doug Beason, U.S. Air Force (Ret.), former associate laboratory director for threat reduction, Los Alamos National Laboratory
“In chilling—but realistic—scenarios of future terrorism, Andrew Fox presents plausible surprise attacks that America may face from enemies foreign and domestic. But he also proposes a realistic method for intervention and prevention, utilizing America’s untapped resources of imagination, creativity, and teamwork.”—Arlan Andrews, former White House fellow in the Office of Science and Technology Policy and founder of Sigma, the science fiction think tank
“This is a thoughtful, highly imaginative, and fact-rich book of great interest to readers far beyond the national security and defense communities.”—Amy Sterling Casil, author of Digital Forensics: Investigating Data and Pathology: Examining the Body for Clues
“Andrew Fox offers a fascinating examination of emerging technologies and the threat they pose to the United States. The shadow of Prometheus looms large over our future! Fox urges us to prepare now.”—Seth G. Jones, senior vice president of the Center for Strategic and International Studies
Descriere
Andrew Fox shows how to predict and assess the most dangerous terrorist threats likely to emerge in the near future in order to focus on countering them.