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The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Guide for Economists and Investors

Autor Steven Marquard
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 20 iul 1994 – vârsta până la 17 ani
This book contends that central bank policy pits the Federal Reserve against consumers, creating business cycles and inflation. As the cycle proceeds, the velocity of money starts to rise, complicating the central bank's problems. Ultimately, either a depression or a runaway inflation develops. The gold standard would not alter patterns of supply and demand and would prevent business cycles and inflation.Central bank policies inevitably alter patterns of supply and demand from what they would be, based on consumer sovereignty. This changes the mix of human and physical capital available to produce a mixture of consumer goods. The economy struggles to right itself against these imbalances. Ultimately, the monetary velocity and price inflation start to rise, worsening the government's problems. In time, either a traditional depression or a runaway inflation results. The gold standard would prevent the twin evils of recession and price inflation. Investment professionals, corporate economists and others in strategic and financial planning capacities will find Mr. Marquard's book both challenging and provocative.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780899309101
ISBN-10: 0899309100
Pagini: 224
Dimensiuni: 156 x 235 x 21 mm
Greutate: 0.53 kg
Ediția:New.
Editura: Bloomsbury Publishing
Colecția Praeger
Locul publicării:New York, United States

Notă biografică

STEVEN MARQUARD is President of Smilodom Financial Consulting, Berkeley, California, and holds an MBA in Applied Economics from the University of California, Berkeley./e A certified public accountant, he has also been Chief Economist for Southern Pacific and the Assistant Treasurer for Bio-Rad Laboratories.

Cuprins

IntroductionMacro-Economic PrinciplesMoney Systems and DepressionThe Capital StructureMoney, Prices, and VelocityInterest and CreditBanking FunctionsBusiness Cycle TheoriesThe Fractional Reserve StandardThe Rise of PaperThe Basic ErrorDirect DistortionThe Money IllusionBank Credit ExpansionGresham's Law and Velocity InductionEmpirical VelocityInterest Intensive Production ProcessesReal and Nominal Interest RatesThe Business Cycle Black BoxThe Stock MarketThe Budget DeficitAnatomy of a Business CycleAnatomy of a DepressionAnatomy of an Inflation PhasePrice Controls, Income Policies, and IndexingA Long or a Short Depression?The Full Gold StandardThe Full Gold StandardSummaryBibliographyIndex