The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World's Most Dynamic Region
Autor Michael R. Auslinen Limba Engleză Paperback – 21 aug 2018
An
urgently
needed
“risk
map”
of
the
many
dangers
that
could
derail
Asia’s
growth
and
stability
Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must‑read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.
Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must‑read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9780300239980
ISBN-10: 030023998X
Pagini: 304
Ilustrații: 15 b-w illus.
Dimensiuni: 156 x 235 x 21 mm
Greutate: 0.39 kg
Editura: Yale University Press
Colecția Yale University Press
ISBN-10: 030023998X
Pagini: 304
Ilustrații: 15 b-w illus.
Dimensiuni: 156 x 235 x 21 mm
Greutate: 0.39 kg
Editura: Yale University Press
Colecția Yale University Press
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Recenzii
"No
sooner
had
we
got
used
to
thinking
of
ourselves
as
living
in
the
'Asian
century'
than
it
might
be
all
over.
.
.
.
The
book
is
a
crash
course
on
the
risks
in
Asia."—Lucy
Hornby,Financial
Times
"[Auslin]
argues
persuasively
that
most
predictions
for
Asia
are
unrealistically
rosy."—Tony
Abbott, Wall
Street
Journal
"Informative,
thoughtful,
and
wide-ranging
.
.
.
well-researched,
insightful
.
.
.
a
wake-up
call."—Publishers
Weekly
"Informative,
thoughtful,
and
wide-ranging
.
.
.
well-researched,
insightful
.
.
.
a
wake-up
call."—Publishers
Weekly
"Auslin
has
done
us
a
great
service,
and
his
book
deserves
to
be
read."—Peter
Mattis,War
On
The
Rocks
"A
brilliant
book
.
.
.
easy
to
read
and
engaging."—Michael
Rubin,Commentary
"A
valuable
new
book."—Aaron
MacLean,Washington
Free
Beacon
"A
plausible,
meticulously
documented
analysis
of
the
deep
fissures
that
divide
the
individual
nations
and
cultures
of
the
Asian
Pacific
and
portend
trouble
ahead
—
economically,
politically
and
diplomatically."—Aram
Bakshian
Jr.,Washington
Times
"A
useful
reminder.
.
.
.
Most
Asian
leaders
have
recognized
that
unless
they
tread
carefully,
the
continent
will
not
succeed.
Managing
the
risks
Auslin
describes
consumes
much
of
the
day-to-day
politics
and
diplomacy
of
the
region."—Foreign
Affairs
"A
point-by-point
debunking
of
the
'Asiaphoria'
that
gripped
so
many
imaginations
a
decade
ago
.
.
.
Auslin
argues
that
the
conditions
are
building
for
major-power
conflict
in
Asia
and
the
Pacific."—David
Frum,Atlantic
"And
yet
in
just
222
pages
his
book
manages
to
serve
not
only
as
an
excellent
introduction
to
the
region
but
as
an
incisive
guide
to
understanding
the
contemporary
risks
roiling
the
most
consequential
region
of
the
world."—Charles
Edel,Naval
War
College
Review
Named
to
the Politico
50Reading
List
“For
scholars
and
policymakers
who
have
sufficient
background
knowledge
about
the
Asia-Pacific,
this
book
is
a
fantastic
work
that
will
help
them
have
a
deeper
and
more
sophisticated
understanding
of
the
region,
with
all
the
real
and
potential
problems
awaiting.”—Zhiqun
Zhu,Education
About
Asia
"Michael
Auslin
combines
an
historian's
perspective
with
the
art
of
diagnosis
to
map
Asia's
possible
futures.
The
surprising
result
is
anticipatory,
cautionary,
and
contrarian.
Written
with
verve
and
a
readable
style, Auslin
urges
us
to
weigh
the
wide-ranging
implications
of
these
risks
for
America
and
the
rest
of
the
world."—Robert
B.
Zoellick,
former
President
of
the
World
Bank,
US
Trade
Representative,
and
U.S.
Deputy
Secretary
of
State
"The
End
of
the
Asian
Centuryis
the
essential
user’s
guide
to
the
gathering
risks
in
the
dynamic
Indo-Pacific
crescent.
Not
since
Robert
D.
Kaplan’sThe
Coming
Anarchyand
Samuel
Huntington’sClash
of
Civilizationshas
a
study
so
originally
and
presciently
captured
the
risks
to
the
emerging
international
order."—James
Kraska,
Howard
S.
Levie
Professor
of
International
Law,
U.S.
Naval
War
College
"Michael
Auslin
has
built
a
reputation
as
an
astute
and
forward-looking
observer.
In
his
new
book,
Auslin
paints
a
vivid
picture
of
a
region
waiting
to
see
the
full
extent
of
Beijing's
ambitions
while
wondering
how
the
United
States
will
ultimately
respond.
Those
wishing
to
understand
the
scale
of
the
challenge
posed
by
China's
destabilizing
behavior
would
be
well-served
by
this
timely
book."—Congressman
J.
Randy
Forbes
(R-Va),
Chairman
of
the
House
Armed
Services
Subcommittee
on
Seapower
&
Projection
Forces
and
Co-Chairman
of
the
Congressional
China
Caucus
"For
years,
many
Americans
have
seen
a
rising
Asia
as
a
region
of
opportunity.
But
Asia
scholar
Michael
Auslin
has
come
to
see
it
as
a
region
of
risks—military,
economic,
demographic.
InThe
End
of
the
Asian
Century,
he
provides
a
'risk
map'
of
a
region
of
great
promise
and
great
problems."—Michael
Barone,
resident
fellow
at
the
American
Enterprise
Institute
andWashington
Examinersenior
political
analyst
"Auslin
argues
powerfully
for
a
dose
of
reality
when
assessing
the
current
situation
in
Asia
and
its
future
problems
and
prospects."—George
P.
Shultz,former
U.S.
Secretary
of
State
and
Secretary
of
the
Treasury,
and
Distinguished
Fellow,
Hoover
Institution,
Stanford
University
Notă biografică
Michael R. Auslin is the Williams-Griffis Fellow in Contemporary Asia at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
Descriere
An urgently needed “risk map” of the many dangers that could derail Asia’s growth and stability
Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must‑read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.
Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must‑read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.