The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction
Autor David Orrellen Limba Engleză Paperback – 26 feb 2008
For
centuries,
scientists
have
strived
to
predict
the
future.
But
to
what
extent
have
they
succeeded?
Can
past
events-Hurricane
Katrina,
the
Internet
stock
bubble,
the
SARS
outbreak-help
us
understand
what
will
happen
next?
Will
scientists
ever
really
be
able
to
forecast
catastrophes,
or
will
we
always
be
at
the
mercy
of
Mother
Nature,
waiting
for
the
next
storm,
epidemic,
or
economic
crash
to
thunder
through
our
lives?
InThe
Future
of
Everything,
David
Orrell
looks
back
at
the
history
of
forecasting,
from
the
time
of
the
oracle
at
Delphi
to
the
rise
of
astrology
to
the
advent
of
the
TV
weather
report,
showing
us
how
scientists
(and
some
charlatans)
predicted
the
future.
How
can
today's
scientists
claim
to
anticipate
future
weather
events
when
even
thee-day
forecasts
prove
a
serious
challenge?
How
can
we
predict
and
control
epidemics?
Can
we
accurately
foresee
our
financial
future?
Or
will
we
only
find
out
about
tomorrow
when
tomorrow
arrives?
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9781568583693
ISBN-10: 1568583699
Pagini: 464
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 25 mm
Greutate: 0.57 kg
Ediția:First Trade Paper Edition
Editura: BASIC BOOKS
Colecția Basic Books
ISBN-10: 1568583699
Pagini: 464
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 25 mm
Greutate: 0.57 kg
Ediția:First Trade Paper Edition
Editura: BASIC BOOKS
Colecția Basic Books
Notă biografică
David
Orrell,
Ph.D.,
received
his
doctorate
in
mathematics
from
the
University
of
Oxford.
His
work
in
the
prediction
of
complex
systems
has
been
featured
inNew
Scientistand
theFinancial
Times,
and
on
BBC
Radio,
ABC
Radio,
and
NPR.
He
lives
in
Vancouver,
British
Columbia.