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The Power of Polls?: A Cross-National Experimental Analysis of the Effects of Campaign Polls: Elements in Campaigns and Elections

Autor Jason Roy, Shane P. Singh, Patrick Fournier
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 6 oct 2021
Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781108792462
ISBN-10: 1108792464
Pagini: 75
Dimensiuni: 151 x 228 x 6 mm
Greutate: 0.13 kg
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Seria Elements in Campaigns and Elections

Locul publicării:New York, United States

Cuprins

1. Do Polls Matter?; 2. Methodology and Assessment; 3. The Effects of Polls on the Search for Campaign Information; 4. The Effects of Polls on Vote Choice; 5. Conclusion.

Descriere

This Element provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.