The Threat of Ballistic Missiles in the Middle East: Active Defense and Counter-Measures

The potential threat from primitive, inexpensive ballistic missiles, especially when armed with means of mass destruction, represents a major development in the arms race. The accelerated escalation in the number, range, and load-carrying capabilities of the missiles in the last decade has occurred because the technologies required to manufacture a missile of the Scud type and its derivatives are simple, cheap and readily available. In contrast, interception requires technologies found only at the forefront of 21st-century military science. This disparity, favoring the aggressor, forms a tremendous temptation for Arab states in the Middle East, such as Egypt, Libya, Syria and Iran, to build up stocks of missiles. This book addresses the complex issue of defense against ballistic missiles by intercepting them at various stages of their trajectory: during launching, such as the Boost Phase Interception (BPI) project being developed by RAFAEL; in the middle of their trajectory, outside the atmosphere, such as the THAAD project of the US Army and the AEGIS project of the US Navy; or in the final stage, when the missile is approaching the target, such as the Israeli Arrow project. This book poses both technical and conceptual questions regarding the issue of missile-to-missile interception, in contrast to the doctrines of second-strike retaliatory capability and pre-emptive strike. The specific threats posed by ballistic missiles to the State of Israel are examined. The 16 research articles, written by leading experts in Israel, the US and Britain, represent the first serious inquiry to address the specifics of the urgent ballistic missile proliferation and threat in the Middle East.