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Uncertainty in Strategic Decision Making: Analysis, Categorization, Causation and Resolution

Autor Richard J. Arend
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 4 ian 2024
Knight (1921) defines uncertainty as an informational market failure that, while being detrimental to most existing businesses, presents possible profitable opportunities for others. This book builds upon that classic work by providing an analysis of the alternative approaches to strategic decision-making under such uncertainty. It covers what uncertainty is, why it is important, and what connections it has to business and related fields, culminating in a new and comprehensive typology and a valuable guide for how to appropriately address various types of uncertainties, even under AI.
It clarifies the current terminological and categorical confusion about ‘unknowns’ while complementing the mathematical, probability-based approaches that treat uncertainty as ‘knowable’ (i.e., as risk). It corrects the mistaken approaches that treat ‘unknowables’ as ‘shapeable’ or ‘discoverable’. This book widens the perspective for viewing uncertainty, in terms of its impacts across humanity, byoffering a shrewder understanding of what roles uncertainties play in human activity. It will appeal to academics across business, economics, philosophy, and other disciplines looking for approaches to apply, test, and hone for dealing with decision-making under uncertainty.


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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9783031485527
ISBN-10: 3031485521
Ilustrații: XXI, 458 p. 26 illus., 1 illus. in color.
Dimensiuni: 148 x 210 mm
Greutate: 0.72 kg
Ediția:1st ed. 2024
Editura: Springer Nature Switzerland
Colecția Palgrave Macmillan
Locul publicării:Cham, Switzerland

Cuprins

Chapter 1. Overview of this Book on Strategic Decision-Making under Uncertainty.- Chapter 2. Confusion over Uncertainty in Decision-Making.- Chapter 3. Definitions of Uncertainty (for Decision-Making).- Chapter 4. Sources of Uncertainty (in Decision-Making).- Chapter 5. Span of Effects of Uncertainty (in Decision-Making).- Chapter 6. Negative Effects of Uncertainty (on Decision-Making).-Chapter 7. Positive Effects of Uncertainty (on Decision-Making).- Chapter 8. Optimal Uncertainty (in Decision-Making).- Chapter 9. Measures of Uncertainty (in Decision-Making).- Chapter 10. Multi-Dimensionality of Uncertainty.- Chapter 11. Uncertainty’s Connections to Entrepreneurship.- Chapter 12. Uncertainty’s Connections to Strategy.- Chapter 13. Uncertainty’s Connections to Creativity, Art & Music.- Chapter 14. Uncertainty’s Connections to Spirituality/ Religion.- Chapter 15. Uncertainty’s Connections to Curiosity, Neurobiology & Evolution.- Chapter 16. Past Failures to Engage with Uncertainty.- Chapter 17. A New Typology of Uncertainty (for Decision-Making).- Chapter 18. Best Treatments & Approaches to Uncertainty Types (in Decision-Making).- Chapter 19. Conclusions of Analysis.- Chapter 20. Supplement on the Impact of Artificial Intelligence


Notă biografică

Richard J. Arend is the L.L. Bean/ Lee Surace Chair in Strategic Management at the University of Southern Maine, USA. He specializes in strategic decision-making under uncertainty and in the critical assessments of the current theories of strategy and of entrepreneurship. He has authored two previous books – one on building better theory and one on wicked entrepreneurship.


Textul de pe ultima copertă

Knight (1921) defines uncertainty as an informational market failure that, while being detrimental to most existing businesses, presents possible profitable opportunities for others. This book builds upon that classic work by providing an analysis of the alternative approaches to strategic decision-making under such uncertainty. It covers what uncertainty is, why it is important, and what connections it has to business and related fields, culminating in a new and comprehensive typology and a valuable guide for how to appropriately address various types of uncertainties, even under AI. It clarifies the current terminological and categorical confusion about ‘unknowns’ while complementing the mathematical, probability-based approaches that treat uncertainty as ‘knowable’ (i.e., as risk). It corrects the mistaken approaches that treat ‘unknowables’ as ‘shapeable’ or ‘discoverable’. This book widens the perspective for viewing uncertainty, in terms of its impacts across humanity, by offering a shrewder understanding of what roles uncertainties play in human activity. It will appeal to academics across business, economics, philosophy, and other disciplines looking for approaches to apply, test, and hone, for dealing with decision-making under uncertainty.
Richard J. Arend is the L.L. Bean/Lee Surace Chair in Strategic Management at the University of Southern Maine, USA. He specializes in strategic decision-making under uncertainty and in the critical assessments of the current theories of strategy and of entrepreneurship. He has authored two previous books – one on building better theory and one on wicked entrepreneurship.

Caracteristici

Offers a critical assessment of the current literature, pointing out mistakes in measures and prescriptions Offers a new, up-to-date comprehensive and appropriately-structured typology of uncertainties First business book to connect uncertainty to ways that uncertainty affects humanity, including stakeholder interests