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Confidence, Likelihood, Probability: Statistical Inference with Confidence Distributions: Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics, cartea 41

Autor Tore Schweder, Nils Lid Hjort
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 23 feb 2016
This lively book lays out a methodology of confidence distributions and puts them through their paces. Among other merits, they lead to optimal combinations of confidence from different sources of information, and they can make complex models amenable to objective and indeed prior-free analysis for less subjectively inclined statisticians. The generous mixture of theory, illustrations, applications and exercises is suitable for statisticians at all levels of experience, as well as for data-oriented scientists. Some confidence distributions are less dispersed than their competitors. This concept leads to a theory of risk functions and comparisons for distributions of confidence. Neyman–Pearson type theorems leading to optimal confidence are developed and richly illustrated. Exact and optimal confidence distribution is the gold standard for inferred epistemic distributions. Confidence distributions and likelihood functions are intertwined, allowing prior distributions to be made part of the likelihood. Meta-analysis in likelihood terms is developed and taken beyond traditional methods, suiting it in particular to combining information across diverse data sources.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780521861601
ISBN-10: 0521861608
Pagini: 511
Ilustrații: 147 b/w illus. 17 tables 100 exercises
Dimensiuni: 184 x 260 x 31 mm
Greutate: 1.07 kg
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Seria Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics

Locul publicării:New York, United States

Cuprins

1. Confidence, likelihood, probability: an invitation; 2. Interference in parametric models; 3. Confidence distributions; 4. Further developments for confidence distribution; 5. Invariance, sufficiency and optimality for confidence distributions; 6. The fiducial argument; 7. Improved approximations for confidence distributions; 8. Exponential families and generalised linear models; 9. Confidence distributions in higher dimensions; 10. Likelihoods and confidence likelihoods; 11. Confidence in non- and semiparametric models; 12. Predictions and confidence; 13. Meta-analysis and combination of information; 14. Applications; 15. Finale: summary, and a look into the future.

Recenzii

'This book presents a detailed and wide-ranging account of an approach to inference that moves the discipline towards increased cohesion, avoiding the artificial distinction between testing and estimation. Innovative and thorough, it is sure to have an impact both in the foundations of inference and in a wide range of practical applications of inference.' Nancy Reid, University Professor of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto
'I recommend this book very enthusiastically to any researcher interested in learning more about advanced likelihood theory, based on concepts like confidence distributions and fiducial distributions, and their links with other areas. The book explains in a very didactical way the concepts, their use, their interpretation, etc., illustrated by an impressive number of examples and data sets from a wide range of areas in statistics.' Ingrid Van Keilegom, Université Catholique de Louvain

Descriere

This is the first book to develop a methodology of confidence distributions, with a lively mix of theory, illustrations, applications and exercises.