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Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs

Autor G. L. S. Shackle
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 23 iun 2010
Originally published in 1969, the second edition of Professor Shackle's book has a fresh preface, an extra chapter and a number of additions to its bibliography. The extra chapter is concerned with the point at which one would decide to abandon an old policy and replace it with a new one. It is, in the words of the author, a further, rather radical development of the Stockholm sequence analysis. Professor Shackle examines how a decision can be rational only in a special sense, that of exploiting to the best present effect, on the decision-maker's state of mind, the scope afforded to imagination by what is known and by the gaps in that knowledge. The attempt made in this book to provide a theory of such decision has been called 'an existentialist economics'.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780521147491
ISBN-10: 0521147492
Pagini: 348
Dimensiuni: 140 x 217 x 20 mm
Greutate: 0.44 kg
Ediția:Revizuită
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Locul publicării:Cambridge, United Kingdom

Cuprins

Preface to the second edition; Preface to the first edition; Part I. Time: 1. Decision; 2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation; 3. The solitary moment; 4. Insulated dynamic schemes; 5. Three critics; 6. Time and decision in sum; Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability; 8. Professor Niehans on probability; 9. Uncertainty as possibility; 10. Potential surprise axiomatized; 11. Critics of potential surprise; 12. Uncertainty in sum; Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model; 15. The neutral outcome; 16. Cardinality; 17. The cardinal potential surprise curve; 18. The ascendancy function; 19. Focus elements; 20. Choice amongst actions; 21. Critics of focus elements; 22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios; 23. Ascendancy in sum; Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation; 25. The basis of change of expectations; Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment; 27. A theory of the interest rate; 28. Profit and the range of non-revision; 29. Order and decision in economics; Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision; Bibliography; Index.

Descriere

This second edition examines how one makes a decision and the factors that influence that decision.