Deterrence: Its Past and Future—Papers Presented at Hoover Institution, November 2010: Hoover Institution Press Publication, cartea 613
Editat de George P. Shultz, James E. Goodby, Sidney D. Drellen Limba Engleză Hardback – 24 aug 2011
Drawn from the third in a series of conferences at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on the nuclear legacy of the cold war, this report examines the importance of deterrence, from its critical function in the cold war to its current role. Although deterrence will not disappear, current and future threats to international security will present relatively fewer situations in which nuclear weapons will play the dominant role they did during the cold war.
The authors highlight the ways in which deterrence has been shaped by surrounding conditions and circumstances. They look at the prospective reliability of deterrence as a tool of statecraft in the emerging international environment. And they examine the challenges of “weaponless deterrence”: developing approaches to nuclear deterrence that rely not on the actua, but rather on the potential existence of nuclear weapons. In addition, they look at the ongoing debates over “de-alerting” (slowing down the capability for immediate launch and rapid nuclear escalation), the role of arms control, and the practical considerations related to verification and compliance.
The authors highlight the ways in which deterrence has been shaped by surrounding conditions and circumstances. They look at the prospective reliability of deterrence as a tool of statecraft in the emerging international environment. And they examine the challenges of “weaponless deterrence”: developing approaches to nuclear deterrence that rely not on the actua, but rather on the potential existence of nuclear weapons. In addition, they look at the ongoing debates over “de-alerting” (slowing down the capability for immediate launch and rapid nuclear escalation), the role of arms control, and the practical considerations related to verification and compliance.
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9780817913847
ISBN-10: 081791384X
Pagini: 464
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 38 mm
Greutate: 0.88 kg
Ediția:First Edition, 1
Editura: Hoover Institution Press
Colecția Hoover Institution Press
Seria Hoover Institution Press Publication
ISBN-10: 081791384X
Pagini: 464
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 38 mm
Greutate: 0.88 kg
Ediția:First Edition, 1
Editura: Hoover Institution Press
Colecția Hoover Institution Press
Seria Hoover Institution Press Publication
Notă biografică
George P. Shultz, the Thomas W. and Susan B. Ford Distinguished Fellow at the Hoover Institution, has had a distinguished career in government, in academia, and in business.
Sidney D. Drell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and professor of theoretical physics emeritus at the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Stanford University.
James Goodby is an author and retired US Foreign Service officer.
Sidney D. Drell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and professor of theoretical physics emeritus at the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Stanford University.
James Goodby is an author and retired US Foreign Service officer.
Extras
“It is important to note that the word and the concept existed before 1945, amid experiences that seem like a dress rehearsal for what we lived with in the cold war, and that might offer important lessons on future ‘deterrence.’”—Chapter Two, pg. 16
Cuprins
Foreword
by George Shultz
Chapter 1 Deterrence, Its Past and Future
An Introduction to Policy Issues
by James Goodby
Chapter 2 How History and the Geopolitical Context Shape Deterrence
by George Quester and Patrick Morgan
Chapter 3 Redefining the Role of Deterrence
by James Goodby and Michael Mazarr
Chapter 4 Nuclear Deterrence in a World Without Nuclear Weapons
by Sidney Drell and Raymond Jeanloz
Chapter 5 Nuclear Weapons Reconstitution and its Discontents: Challenges of “Weaponless Deterrence”
by Christopher A. Ford
Chapter 6 Playing for Time on the Edge of the Apocalypse: Maximizing Decision Time for Nuclear Leaders
by Christopher A. Ford
Chapter 7 Arms Control and Deterrence
by James M. Acton, Edward Ifft, and John McLaughlin
Chapter 8 Practical Considerations Related to Verification and Compliance
by Edward Ifft
Chapter 9 Deterrence and Enforcement in a World Free of Nuclear Weapons
by David Holloway
Appendices
Appendix A Enforcing Zero: Forget Deterrence!
by Harald Müller
Appendix B Nuclear Deterrence in the Twenty-first Century: An Ethical Analysis
by Tyler Wigg-Stevenson
About the Authors
by George Shultz
Chapter 1 Deterrence, Its Past and Future
An Introduction to Policy Issues
by James Goodby
Chapter 2 How History and the Geopolitical Context Shape Deterrence
by George Quester and Patrick Morgan
Chapter 3 Redefining the Role of Deterrence
by James Goodby and Michael Mazarr
Chapter 4 Nuclear Deterrence in a World Without Nuclear Weapons
by Sidney Drell and Raymond Jeanloz
Chapter 5 Nuclear Weapons Reconstitution and its Discontents: Challenges of “Weaponless Deterrence”
by Christopher A. Ford
Chapter 6 Playing for Time on the Edge of the Apocalypse: Maximizing Decision Time for Nuclear Leaders
by Christopher A. Ford
Chapter 7 Arms Control and Deterrence
by James M. Acton, Edward Ifft, and John McLaughlin
Chapter 8 Practical Considerations Related to Verification and Compliance
by Edward Ifft
Chapter 9 Deterrence and Enforcement in a World Free of Nuclear Weapons
by David Holloway
Appendices
Appendix A Enforcing Zero: Forget Deterrence!
by Harald Müller
Appendix B Nuclear Deterrence in the Twenty-first Century: An Ethical Analysis
by Tyler Wigg-Stevenson
About the Authors
Textul de pe ultima copertă
Reassessing the role of nuclear deterrence
Although deterrence will not disappear, current and future threats to international security will present relatively fewer situations in which deterrence, least of all nuclear deterrence, will be the most effective tool of statecraft. This report, drawn from the third in a series of conferences at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on the nuclear legacy of the cold war, examines the importance of deterrence, from its critical function in the cold war to its current role. The contributors discuss how, with today’s international environment radically different from that which it was during the cold war, the need is pressing to reassess the role of deterrence in whatever form it may take to meet the challenges of today’s world.
This use of American influence—a resource of which deterrence is only one part—can foster expectations that trend toward favoring less reliance on nuclear weapons, not more. This report is intended to contribute to the necessary dialogue that may, in time, lead to a consensus that a world without nuclear weapons is a practical enterprise among nations.
CONTRIBUTORS: James Acton, Sidney Drell, Christopher A. Ford, James Goodby, David Holloway, Edward Ifft, Raymond Jeanloz, Michael Mazarr, John McLaughlin, Patrick Morgan, George Quester
Although deterrence will not disappear, current and future threats to international security will present relatively fewer situations in which deterrence, least of all nuclear deterrence, will be the most effective tool of statecraft. This report, drawn from the third in a series of conferences at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on the nuclear legacy of the cold war, examines the importance of deterrence, from its critical function in the cold war to its current role. The contributors discuss how, with today’s international environment radically different from that which it was during the cold war, the need is pressing to reassess the role of deterrence in whatever form it may take to meet the challenges of today’s world.
This use of American influence—a resource of which deterrence is only one part—can foster expectations that trend toward favoring less reliance on nuclear weapons, not more. This report is intended to contribute to the necessary dialogue that may, in time, lead to a consensus that a world without nuclear weapons is a practical enterprise among nations.
CONTRIBUTORS: James Acton, Sidney Drell, Christopher A. Ford, James Goodby, David Holloway, Edward Ifft, Raymond Jeanloz, Michael Mazarr, John McLaughlin, Patrick Morgan, George Quester
Descriere
Drawn from the third in a series of conferences the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on the nuclear legacy of the cold war, this report examines the importance of deterrence, from its critical function in the cold war to its current role. Recognizing that today’s international environment is radically different from that which it was during the cold war, the need is pressing to reassess the role of nuclear weapons in deterrence in the world of today and to look ahead to the future.