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Election Timing: Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions

Autor Alastair Smith
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 18 iul 2004
Endogenous election timing allows leaders to schedule elections 'when the time is right'. The author proposes and tests an informational theory of endogenous election timing that explains when leaders call for elections and the consequences of their decisions. In particular, he argues that, if all else is equal, leaders announce elections when they anticipate a decline in their future performance. As a consequence, early elections signal a leader's lack of confidence in future outcomes. The earlier elections occur, relative to expectations, the stronger the signal of demise. Using data on British parliaments since 1945, the author tests hypotheses related to timing of elections, electoral support and subsequent economic performance. Leaders who call elections early (relative to expectations) experience a decline in their popular support relative to pre-announcement levels, experience worse post-electoral performance, and have shorter campaigns.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780521833639
ISBN-10: 0521833639
Pagini: 286
Ilustrații: 35 b/w illus. 21 tables
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 21 mm
Greutate: 0.55 kg
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Seria Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions

Locul publicării:New York, United States

Cuprins

1. Calling elections; 2. An informational theory of election timing; 3. The timing of elections; 4. The consequences of election timing; 5. Early and late election in Britain; 6. Conclusions.

Descriere

The author explains when leaders call for elections and the consequences of their decisions.