Cantitate/Preț
Produs

Inference, Method and Decision: Towards a Bayesian Philosophy of Science: Synthese Library, cartea 115

Autor R.D. Rosenkrantz
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 30 sep 1977
This book grew out of previously published papers of mine composed over a period of years; they have been reworked (sometimes beyond recognition) so as to form a reasonably coherent whole. Part One treats of informative inference. I argue (Chapter 2) that the traditional principle of induction in its clearest formulation (that laws are confirmed by their positive cases) is clearly false. Other formulations in terms of the 'uniformity of nature' or the 'resemblance of the future to the past' seem to me hopelessly unclear. From a Bayesian point of view, 'learning from experience' goes by conditionalization (Bayes' rule). The traditional stum­ bling block for Bayesians has been to fmd objective probability inputs to conditionalize upon. Subjective Bayesians allow any probability inputs that do not violate the usual axioms of probability. Many subjectivists grant that this liberality seems prodigal but own themselves unable to think of additional constraints that might plausibly be imposed. To be sure, if we could agree on the correct probabilistic representation of 'ignorance' (or absence of pertinent data), then all probabilities obtained by applying Bayes' rule to an 'informationless' prior would be objective. But familiar contra­ dictions, like the Bertrand paradox, are thought to vitiate all attempts to objectify 'ignorance'. BuUding on the earlier work of Sir Harold Jeffreys, E. T. Jaynes, and the more recent work ofG. E. P. Box and G. E. Tiao, I have elected to bite this bullet. In Chapter 3, I develop and defend an objectivist Bayesian approach.
Citește tot Restrânge

Toate formatele și edițiile

Toate formatele și edițiile Preț Express
Paperback (1) 62633 lei  6-8 săpt.
  SPRINGER NETHERLANDS – 30 sep 1977 62633 lei  6-8 săpt.
Hardback (1) 63290 lei  6-8 săpt.
  SPRINGER NETHERLANDS – 30 sep 1977 63290 lei  6-8 săpt.

Din seria Synthese Library

Preț: 63290 lei

Preț vechi: 74459 lei
-15% Nou

Puncte Express: 949

Preț estimativ în valută:
12112 12582$ 10061£

Carte tipărită la comandă

Livrare economică 01-15 februarie 25

Preluare comenzi: 021 569.72.76

Specificații

ISBN-13: 9789027708175
ISBN-10: 9027708177
Pagini: 270
Ilustrații: XV, 270 p.
Dimensiuni: 155 x 235 x 18 mm
Greutate: 0.57 kg
Ediția:1977
Editura: SPRINGER NETHERLANDS
Colecția Springer
Seria Synthese Library

Locul publicării:Dordrecht, Netherlands

Public țintă

Research

Cuprins

One: Informative Inference.- 1 / Information.- 2 / The Paradoxes of Confirmation.- 3 / Inductivism and Probabilism.- 4 / Inductive Generalization.- Two: Scientific Method.- 5 / Simplicity.- 6 / Bayes and Popper.- 7 / The Copernican Revelation.- 8 / Explanation.- Three: Statistical Decision.- 9 / Support.- 10 / Testing.- 11 / Bayes/Orthodox Comparisons.- 12 / Cognitive Decisions.- Author Index.