Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis
Autor David Huletten Limba Engleză Paperback – 24 iun 2024
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9781032838311
ISBN-10: 1032838310
Pagini: 240
Dimensiuni: 174 x 246 x 16 mm
Greutate: 0.44 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom
ISBN-10: 1032838310
Pagini: 240
Dimensiuni: 174 x 246 x 16 mm
Greutate: 0.44 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom
Cuprins
Contents: Foreword, Philip Rawlings; Foreword, Charles Bosler; Preface; Introduction: why conduct cost risk analysis?; Cost risk analysis basics: the three-point estimate and an analytic solution, the method of moments; What is Monte Carlo simulation and how does it apply to cost risk analysis?; Collecting high-quality data on cost risk methods and challenges; Correlation between project element costs reflects common risk drivers and implies more cost risk at the project level; Using risk register risks to drive the cost risk analysis: the 'risk driver' method; Preparing for integrated cost and schedule risk analysis; Essentials of integrated cost and schedule risk analysis; Integrated cost and schedule risk analysis: method and case study basic results; Integrated cost and schedule risk analysis advanced results; Summary of integrated cost and schedule risk analysis; Index.
Notă biografică
David T. Hulett is internationally recognised as a leading expert in risk management, leader in risk management activities of the Project Management Institute (project manager of the Risk Management chapter of the PMBOK® Guide, 2000 and third editions), deputy PM of the Practice Standard for Project Risk Management (ongoing), core committee member for the Practice Standard for Project Scheduling and frequent conference speaker. He has a consulting and training practice with clients in many industries around the world.
Recenzii
Hulett's latest book ... describes how one can (and really should) develop risk models that consider both cost and schedule and, more importantly, the interaction between the two. It is to be hoped that Hulett's approach will be adopted, no doubt adapted to suit each individual practitioner, to produce more realistic (let us not say 'accurate') projections of project outcomes - to set more achievable targets and to point towards more effective risk mitigation actions. Philip Rawlings, Director, Euro Log Ltd Why then do so many of us ignore this monumental testament to the success of statistics, modeling and simulation? I ask this because in this book David gives us an effective approach and all the tools we need to improve our cost and schedule estimates, which will increase the chance for success in our projects. Once armed with the tools and techniques necessary we can all improve. We can never know the "unknowable" ... the future will always be uncertain, but we can surely decrease the cone of uncertainty to a manageable level. Charles Bosler, Chairman of the Risk Management SIG (www.risksig.com) and President of RiskTrak International
Descriere
This companion volume to Practical Schedule Risk Analysis explores the second area where projects so often go horribly wrong - project cost. Many cost estimates are fundamentally flawed in their conception, become written in stone when the project is approved and consequently fall apart during the project implementation and delivery. David Hulett e