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Probability and Forensic Evidence: Theory, Philosophy, and Applications

Autor Ronald Meester, Klaas Slooten
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 7 apr 2021
This book addresses the role of statistics and probability in the evaluation of forensic evidence, including both theoretical issues and applications in legal contexts. It discusses what evidence is and how it can be quantified, how it should be understood, and how it is applied (and, sometimes, misapplied). After laying out their philosophical position, the authors begin with a detailed study of the likelihood ratio. Following this grounding, they discuss applications of the likelihood ratio to forensic questions, in the abstract and in concrete cases. The analysis of DNA evidence in particular is treated in great detail. Later chapters concern Bayesian networks, frequentist approaches to evidence, the use of belief functions, and the thorny subject of database searches and familial searching. Finally, the authors provide commentary on various recommendation reports for forensic science. Written to be accessible to a wide audience of applied mathematicians, forensic scientists, and scientifically-oriented legal scholars, this book is a must-read for all those interested in the mathematical and philosophical foundations of evidence and belief.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781108449144
ISBN-10: 110844914X
Pagini: 424
Dimensiuni: 170 x 245 x 25 mm
Greutate: 0.72 kg
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Locul publicării:Cambridge, United Kingdom

Cuprins

1. Some Philosophy of Probability, Statistics, and Forensic Science; 2. Evidence and the Likelihood Ratio; 3. The Uncertainty of the Likelihood Ratio; 4. Forensic Identification; 5. The Bayesian Framework in Legal Cases; 6. Bayesian Networks; 7. DNA; 8. Statistical Modeling and DNA Mixture Evaluation; 9. p-Values of Likelihood Ratios; 10. From Evidence to Decision; 11. The Interpretation of DNA Database Matches; 12. Familial Searching; 13. Belief Functions and their Applications; 14. Recommendation Reports; References; Index.

Recenzii

'This is a foundational introduction to the statistical interpretation of forensic evidence. It should be considered an essential reference for anyone considering study or research in this area. The language and exposition are crystal-clear and leave no room for uncertainty of thinking.' James Curran, University of Auckland
'A masterful and thought-provoking look at the statistical underpinnings for the interpretation of forensic evidence. The authors make a compelling case for the use of likelihood ratios and debunk misinterpretations of these ratios. Their strong statements across a range of current debates about DNA evidence in particular are based on detailed mathematical derivations.' Bruce Weir, University of Washington
'This book is accessible to anyone … It provides an example of applied math being utilized in the real world while being mindful of the gap that can occur between practice and theory. The diligent reader will find much to learn and enjoy throughout.' Notices of the American Mathematical Society

Notă biografică


Descriere

A self-contained examination of all aspects of statistical evidence evaluation in forensic science, from theory to concrete applications.