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Scientific Inference

Autor Harold Jeffreys
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 14 mar 2007
Originally published in 1931. The present work had its beginnings in a series of papers published jointly some years ago by Dr Dorothy Wrinch and myself. Both before and since that time several books purporting to give analyses of the principles of scientific inquiry have appeared, but it seems to me that none of them gives adequate attention to the chief guiding principle of both scientific and everyday knowledge that it is possible to learn from experience and to make inferences from it beyond the data directly known by sensation. Discussions from the philosophical and logical point of view have tended to the conclusion that this principle cannot be justified by logic alone, which is true, and have left it at that. In discussions by physicists, on the other hand, it hardly seems to be noticed that such a principle exists. In the present work the principle is frankly adopted as a primitive postulate and its consequences are developed. It is found to lead to an explanation and a justification of the high probabilities attached in practice to simple quantitative laws, and thereby to a recasting of the processes involved in description. As illustrations of the actual relations of scientific laws to experience it is shown how the sciences of mensuration and dynamics may be developed. I have been stimulated to an interest in the subject myself on account of the fact that in my work in the subjects of cosmogony and geophysics it has habitually been necessary to apply physical laws far beyond their original range of verification in both time and distance, and the problems involved in such extrapolation have therefore always been prominent. This is a high quality digital version of the original title, thus a few of the images may be slightly blurred and difficult to read.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781406768787
ISBN-10: 1406768782
Pagini: 280
Dimensiuni: 140 x 216 x 16 mm
Greutate: 0.36 kg
Editura: Muller Press

Cuprins

Preface to the third edition; Preface to the second edition; Preface to the first edition; 1. Logic and scientific inference; 2. Probability; 3. Sampling; 4. Errors; 5. Physical magnitudes; 6. Mensuration; 7. Newtonian dynamics; 8. Light and relativity; 9. Miscellaneous questions; 10. Statistical mechanics and quantum theory; Appendices; Index.

Descriere

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A consistent 1931 account of how the theories proposed by physicists have been derived from, and are supported by, experimental data.