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Time Series Analysis and Adjustment: Measuring, Modelling and Forecasting for Business and Economics

Autor Haim Y. Bleikh, Warren L.Young
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 23 iul 2014
In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them. Such analysis has long involved what is known as econometrics, but time series analysis is a different approach driven more by data than economic theory and focused on modelling. An understanding of time series and the application and understanding of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. Dealing with economic data involves grappling with things like varying numbers of working and trading days in different months and movable national holidays. Special attention has to be given to such things. However, the main problem in time series analysis is randomness. In real-life, data patterns are usually unclear, and the challenge is to uncover hidden patterns in the data and then to generate accurate forecasts. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment. The authors believe this is the first published study to really deal with this issue of context.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781409441922
ISBN-10: 140944192X
Pagini: 148
Dimensiuni: 156 x 234 x 10 mm
Greutate: 0.41 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom

Cuprins

Contents: Introduction; Literature survey; Forecasting; Univariate time series analysis; Further topics in time series analysis; The development of seasonal adjustment programs; Empirical analysis; Conclusions; References; Appendices; Index.

Notă biografică

Haim Y. Bleikh is a resident researcher at the Taub Center for Social Policy Studies in Israel. Warren L. Young is Associate Professor of Economics at Bar Ilan University, Israel.

Descriere

In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and to provide statistics. An understanding of time series and the application and knowledge of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment - this is the first known published study to really deal with this issue of context.