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Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting

Autor Philip Hans Franses, Dick van Dijk, Anne Opschoor
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 23 apr 2014
With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780521520911
ISBN-10: 0521520916
Pagini: 311
Ilustrații: 81 b/w illus. 17 tables 65 exercises
Dimensiuni: 190 x 246 x 15 mm
Greutate: 0.68 kg
Ediția:Revizuită
Editura: Cambridge University Press
Colecția Cambridge University Press
Locul publicării:Cambridge, United Kingdom

Cuprins

Preface; 1. Introduction and overview; 2. Key features of economic time series; 3. Useful concepts in univariate time series analysis; 4. Trends; 5. Seasonality; 6. Aberrant observations; 7. Conditional heteroskedasticity; 8. Non-linearity; 9. Multivariate time series; Index.


Recenzii

'This book is well written; it takes the reader through a carefully selected part of the recent and important research on time series models to be used for out-of-sample forecasting. In short, the book is a must for students of this area.' Svend Hylleberg, Dean of the School of Business and Social Sciences, Aarhus University
'I highly recommend the second edition of this book. The authors have made wise choices of covering the most valuable and practical time-series methods for economic and business forecasting. The text is well written and the exercises and illustrations connect with some of the best statistical software available. In an age of digital time-series data explosion in a variety of disciplines, this book can only gain in importance and impact.' Dominique M. Hanssens, Bud Knapp Distinguished Professor of Marketing, University of California, Los Angeles

Descriere

With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online.


Notă biografică