Causal and Stochastic Elements in Business Cycles: An Essential Extension of Macroeconomics Leading to Improved Predictions of Data: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, cartea 431
Autor Arvid Aulinen Limba Engleză Paperback – 19 feb 1996
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9783540605935
ISBN-10: 3540605932
Pagini: 136
Ilustrații: XI, 116 p.
Dimensiuni: 155 x 235 x 7 mm
Greutate: 0.2 kg
Ediția:Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1996
Editura: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg
Colecția Springer
Seria Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Locul publicării:Berlin, Heidelberg, Germany
ISBN-10: 3540605932
Pagini: 136
Ilustrații: XI, 116 p.
Dimensiuni: 155 x 235 x 7 mm
Greutate: 0.2 kg
Ediția:Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1996
Editura: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg
Colecția Springer
Seria Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Locul publicării:Berlin, Heidelberg, Germany
Public țintă
ResearchCuprins
I. The Mathematical Tools.- 1. The Hamilton-Jacobi Theory.- 2. Maximization of Accumulating Utility.- II. The Lucas Growth Theory and Its Generalization to Business Cycles.- 3. The Lucas Growth Theory.- 4. Generalization to Include Business Cycles.- III. The General Theory of Economic Growth and Business Cycles.- 5. The Basic Growth Paths.- 6. The Basic Business Cycles.- IV. The Basic Business Cycles as the Causal Part of Business Cycles.- 7. The Predictive Power of the Basic Cycles Compared With That of the Stochastic Models: Ordinary Business Cycles.- 8. Conclusions and Challenges.- 9. The Dynamics of Anomalous Basic Business Cycles and Its Quantitative Verification.- V. The Effects of Nonmaterial Values and Other Ignored Factors Upon Economic Growth.- 10. Primary Causal Factors of Economic Growth.- 11. The Growth Effects of Savings Rate.- VI. An Alternative Vision of the Stochastic Element in Business Cycles.- 12. Stochastic Shocks as Perturbations Superposed Upon the Basic Business Cycles.- 13. Final Result: Both the Stochastic and Nonstochastic BBC Versions Predict Better Than Any of the Models Based On Stochastic Optimization.- References.- Appendix 1: The Dependence of the Predicted Anomalous Correlations on Savings Rate.- Appendix 2: Numerical Tables.