Decision Science and Social Risk Management: A Comparative Evaluation of Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Other Formal Decision-Aiding Approaches: Risk, Governance and Society, cartea 2
Autor M.W Merkhoferen Limba Engleză Hardback – 30 noi 1986
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9789027722751
ISBN-10: 9027722757
Pagini: 352
Ilustrații: XV, 330 p.
Dimensiuni: 156 x 234 x 24 mm
Greutate: 0.67 kg
Ediția:1987
Editura: SPRINGER NETHERLANDS
Colecția Springer
Seria Risk, Governance and Society
Locul publicării:Dordrecht, Netherlands
ISBN-10: 9027722757
Pagini: 352
Ilustrații: XV, 330 p.
Dimensiuni: 156 x 234 x 24 mm
Greutate: 0.67 kg
Ediția:1987
Editura: SPRINGER NETHERLANDS
Colecția Springer
Seria Risk, Governance and Society
Locul publicării:Dordrecht, Netherlands
Public țintă
ResearchCuprins
1. Social Risk Management.- Nature of Risk.- The Role of Government in Risk Management.- Complexity of Social Risk Decision Making.- The Existing Risk-Management System.- A Taxonomy of Risk Problems.- 2. Decision-Aiding Approaches.- Nature of Decision-Aiding Approaches.- Decision-Making Theories.- Decision-Aiding Approaches.- A Comparison of the Procedures Used in Decision-Aiding Approaches.- Characterizing and Distinguishing Decision-Aiding Approaches.- 3. Criticisms and Limitations of Decision-Aiding Approaches.- Fundamental Criticisms.- Operational Criticisms.- Institutional and Political Incompatibilities.- Ethical Concerns.- 4. Comparative Evaluation: Summary and Conclusions.- Criteria for Evaluating Decision-Aiding Approaches.- Comparative Evaluation.- Selecting a Decision-Aiding Approach.- Concluding Observations and Comments.- Notes.- References.- Appendices: Applications of Decision-Aiding Approaches.- A. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Mobile-Source Sulfur Oxide Emission Control.- Decision Situation.- Background.- Analysis.- Specification and Characterization of Alternatives.- Decision Criterion.- Outcome Measures.- Estimation of Costs.- Estimation of Benefits.- Impact on Health.- Impact on Visibility.- Valuation of Benefits.- Valuing Health Effects.- Valuing Visibility.- Sensitivity Analysis of Benefit Estimates.- Cost-Benefit Comparison.- Epilogue.- Notes to Appendix A.- References to Appendix A.- B. A Decision Analysis of Alternative Government Policies for Commercial Cryptography.- Decision Situation.- Background.- Analysis.- Specification and Characterization of Alternatives.- Decision Criterion.- Outcome Measures.- Deterministic Analysis.- Decision Model.- Base-Case Model Results and Sensitivity Analysis.- Probabilistic Analysis.- Crypto Product Attractiveness.- Computer-Related Crime Rate.- Social Contingency Scenario.- Tree Analysis.- Solution of the Decision Tree.- Informational Analysis.- Epilogue.- Notes to Appendix B.- References to Appendix B.- C. An Application of Applied Social Welfare Theory to a Space-Mission Planning Decision.- Decision Situation.- Background.- Analysis.- Specification and Characterization of Alternatives.- Decision Criteria.- Rank Sum Collective Choice Formulation.- Nash Bargaining Model Formulation.- Social Welfare Formulation.- Supradecision-Maker Formulation.- Derivation of Science Team Preferences.- Collective Choice Analysis.- Rank Sum Choice Formulation.- Nash Bargaining Model Formulation.- Social Welfare Formulation.- Supradecision-Maker Formulation.- Comparison of Results.- Epilogue.- Notes to Appendix C.- References to Appendix C.- Index of Names.- Index of Subjects.