Epidemic Models (Publications of the Newton Institute) de Denis Mollison

Epidemic Models: Their Structure and Relation to Data: Publications of the Newton Institute, cartea 5

Denis Mollison

en Limba Engleză Paperback – 25 iun 2008

The problems of understanding and controlling disease present a range of mathematical challenges, from broad theoretical issues to specific practical ones, making epidemiology one of the most vibrant branches of applied ecology. Progress in this field requires interdisciplinary collaboration; leading researchers with a wide range of mathematical expertise and close involvement in applied fields across the social, medical and biological sciences came together for a NATO Advanced Research Workshop marking the opening of a six-month programme on Epidemic Models at the Newton Institute in Cambridge in 1993. This volume is a result of that collaboration and surveys the state of epidemic modelling at the time in relation to basic aims such as understanding, prediction, and evaluation and implementation of control strategies.

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Paperback (1)	478^.67 lei 6-8 săpt.
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Cambridge University Press – 12 iul 1995	991^.10 lei 6-8 săpt.

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Paperback (1)

478^.67 lei 6-8 săpt.

Cambridge University Press – 25 iun 2008

478^.67 lei 6-8 săpt.

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991^.10 lei 6-8 săpt.

Cambridge University Press – 12 iul 1995

991^.10 lei 6-8 săpt.

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Cuprins

Preface; Introduction; Part I. Conceptual Framework: 1. Some problems in the theory of infectious disease transmission and control Klaus Dietz; 2. The structure of epidemic models Denis Mollison; 3. Coupling methods in epidemic theory Frank Ball; 4. Collective epidemic processes: a general modelling approach to the final outcome of SIR epidemics Claude Lefévre and Philippe Picard; 5. The threshold concept in deterministic and stochastic models Ingemar Nasell; 6. How does transmission of infection depend on population size? Mart de Jong, Odo Diekmann and Hans Heesterbeek; 7. The legacy of Kermack and McKendrick Odo Diekmann, Hans Metz and Hans Heesterbeek; Part II. Spatial Models: 8. Incorporating spatial components into models of epidemic spread Andrew Cliff; 9. Velocities of epidemic spread Hans Metz and Frank van den Bosch; 10. Spatial epidemic models Richard Durrett; 11. A perturbation approach to nonlinear deterministic epidemic waves Henry Daniels; 12. Epidemic plant diseases: a stochastic model of leaf and stem lesion Lynne Billard, P. W. A. Dayananda and Zhen Zhao; Part III. Nonlinear Time and Space-Time Dynamics: 13. Detecting nonlinearity and chaos in epidemic data Stephen Ellner, Ronald Gallant and James Theiler; 14. Seasonality, demography and the dynamics of measles in developed countries Bryan Grenfell, Ben Bolker and Adam Kleczkowski; Part IV. Heterogeneity in Human Diseases: 15. Grouping in population models Simon Levin; 16. Core groups and R0s for subgroups in heterogeneous SIS and SI models John Jacquez, Carl Simon and James Koopman; 17. Data driven network models for the spread of disease Martina Morris; 18. The effect of antigenic diversity on endemic prevalence Sunetra Gupta, Katherine Trenholme, Martin Cox, Roy Anderson and Karen Day; Part V. Data Analysis: Estimation and Prediction: 19. Statistical challenges of epidemic data Niels Becker; 20. Primary components of epidemic models Andrew Cairns; 21. Estimation and prediction in tropical disease control: the example of onchocerciasis Hans Remme, Soumbey Alley and Anton Plaisier; 22. Some current trends in estimating vaccine efficacy Ira Longini, Elizabeth Halloran and Michael Haber; 23. Operational modelling of HIV/AIDS to assist public health control Norman Bailey; Appendix. Problem areas S. Ellner, O. Diekmann and N. Becker.