In Search of Economic Indicators: Essays on Business Surveys: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, cartea 146
Editat de W.H. Strigelen Limba Engleză Paperback – iul 1977
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9783540083467
ISBN-10: 3540083464
Pagini: 220
Ilustrații: XVI, 200 p. 7 illus.
Dimensiuni: 170 x 244 x 12 mm
Greutate: 0.36 kg
Ediția:Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1977
Editura: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg
Colecția Springer
Seria Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Locul publicării:Berlin, Heidelberg, Germany
ISBN-10: 3540083464
Pagini: 220
Ilustrații: XVI, 200 p. 7 illus.
Dimensiuni: 170 x 244 x 12 mm
Greutate: 0.36 kg
Ediția:Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1977
Editura: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg
Colecția Springer
Seria Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Locul publicării:Berlin, Heidelberg, Germany
Public țintă
ResearchCuprins
I The Finger on the Pulse of the Economy.- How it Started.- On the Special Nature of the Surveys.- Construction and Development of the Surveys.- Lines of Scientific Development.- Worldwide Diffusion.- Summary.- Notes.- II The Business Situation: On the Meaning of an Undetermined Survey Variable.- Entrepreneurial Judgements in the IFO Business Survey.- An Empirical Definition of the Concept “Business Situation”.- Examining the Survey Results on an Aggregate Level.- Summary.- Notes.- III Business Cycle Indicators from Qualitative Data.- Business Cycle and Indicators.- The Ideal Indicator.- On the Selection of Indicators.- Evaluation Data Closer to the Ideal Indicator.- An Indicator System Approach.- An Example: Qualitative Indicators for Consumer Goods.- Summary and Outlook.- Notes.- IV The “Business Climate” as Leading Indicator.- The Business Climate as a Diffusion Index.- Experience with the Indicator “Business Climate”.- Summary.- Notes.- V Branch Indicators for the Future Demand of Firms.- Forecasting Saves Costs.- The Construction of Turning Point Indicators.- Graph Analysis.- Quantitative Forecasting Approaches.- A Forecasting Function for Consumer Durables.- Summary.- Notes.- VI Forecasting Capital Expenditure with Plan Data.- The Problem of Forecasting Investment.- The Data.- The Models Investigated.- Results of the Investigation.- Summary.- Notes.- VII Expectations Curbing Growth.- Less Growth Anticipated.- Purposive Pessimism Only?.- Psychosocial Stimuli as Stress Factors for the Economy.- Summary.- Notes.- VIII Satisfaction and Growth Expectations in Industry and Trade.- Preliminary Note.- More than 5,000 Replies.- Excursus: What is Satisfaction?.- Satisfaction Predominates.- No Improvement of Living Conditions Expected.- Widespread Pessimism aboutEconomic Growth.- Dissatisfaction with Political Conditions.- Noise Impairs Living Conditions.- Despite Stress, Vocation Satisfies.- Economic Improvement Ranks First.- Occupation Largely Determines Satisfaction.- Summary.- Notes.- IX Basic Research with Qualitative Data and with Anticipations.- Investigations at the Micro-Level.- Investigations at the Macro-Level.- Investigations of Investment Survey Data.- Summary.- Notes.- X Integrating the IFO Business Surveys into the Framework of Entrepreneurial Variables.- Characteristics of Goods.- Equilibrium and Disequilibrium.- The Disequilibrium in the Light of Conventional Statistics and Business Surveys.- Selected Variables in the IFO Surveys.- Conclusion.- Notes.- Annex.- A. The IFO Institute for Economic Research.- B. The Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency SurveysCIRET.- C. List of Institutions Carrying Out Trade Cycle Surveys.- D. The Authors.